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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.98+4.47vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.58+4.57vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.71+3.26vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.56+2.76vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.83+3.93vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.75+0.19vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.87-1.14vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.21-3.11vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.73-2.79vs Predicted
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10Boston University0.19+2.39vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.26-3.30vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University2.08-3.54vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.75+1.48vs Predicted
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14University of Connecticut-0.87-0.32vs Predicted
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15Yale University2.76-8.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.47Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
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6.57Harvard University2.580.1%1st Place
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6.26Roger Williams University2.710.1%1st Place
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6.76Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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8.93Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
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6.19Connecticut College2.750.1%1st Place
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5.86Brown University2.870.1%1st Place
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4.89Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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6.21Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.730.1%1st Place
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12.39Boston University0.190.0%1st Place
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7.7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.260.1%1st Place
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8.46Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
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14.48Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.750.0%1st Place
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13.68University of Connecticut-0.870.0%1st Place
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6.13Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mariel Marchand | 12.5% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 7.1% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Annie Schmidt | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Courtney Koos | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 6.0% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Heidi Hood | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 12.4% | 21.4% | 10.2% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Liz Dubovik | 7.9% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 10.6% | 7.7% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Williams | 13.8% | 14.1% | 12.9% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Laura Dunphy | 8.0% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Katelyn Richerts | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 43.3% | 24.7% | 6.1% |
| Christina Frost | 5.3% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 5.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Shannon Killian | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 14.9% | 14.8% | 7.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Courtney Collins | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 7.1% | 21.0% | 68.7% |
| Marta Chlus | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 15.6% | 50.3% | 24.7% |
| Marly Isler | 9.8% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 1.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.