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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.98+4.47vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.71+4.21vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College2.75+3.15vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.21+0.82vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.76+1.25vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.73+0.25vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.58-0.32vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.56-1.24vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.87-3.22vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.83-1.00vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.26-3.30vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University2.08-3.56vs Predicted
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13Boston University0.19-0.56vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.75+0.45vs Predicted
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15University of Connecticut-0.87-1.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.47Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
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6.21Roger Williams University2.710.1%1st Place
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6.15Connecticut College2.750.1%1st Place
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4.82Dartmouth College3.210.2%1st Place
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6.25Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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6.25Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.730.1%1st Place
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6.68Harvard University2.580.1%1st Place
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6.76Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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5.78Brown University2.870.1%1st Place
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9.0Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
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7.7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.260.1%1st Place
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8.44Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
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12.44Boston University0.190.0%1st Place
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14.45Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.750.0%1st Place
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13.62University of Connecticut-0.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mariel Marchand | 12.0% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Annie Schmidt | 7.6% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Liz Dubovik | 9.0% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Williams | 15.1% | 14.6% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marly Isler | 9.0% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Laura Dunphy | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 4.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Courtney Koos | 8.1% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 2.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 9.0% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Heidi Hood | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 12.9% | 19.8% | 9.1% | 2.7% | 0.1% |
| Christina Frost | 5.1% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 5.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Shannon Killian | 4.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 13.1% | 16.4% | 6.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Katelyn Richerts | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 7.7% | 44.1% | 24.7% | 6.1% |
| Courtney Collins | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 1.2% | 6.1% | 23.5% | 67.0% |
| Marta Chlus | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 18.6% | 45.8% | 26.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.