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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.71+5.05vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.87+3.50vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.76+2.84vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.98+1.34vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.21-0.23vs Predicted
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6Boston University0.19+6.12vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.83+1.64vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College2.75-2.00vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.73-3.00vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.26-2.51vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.56-4.38vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University0.97-1.07vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.58-6.28vs Predicted
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14University of Connecticut-0.87-0.40vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.75-0.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.05Roger Williams University2.710.1%1st Place
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5.5Brown University2.870.1%1st Place
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5.84Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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5.34Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
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4.77Dartmouth College3.210.2%1st Place
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12.12Boston University0.190.0%1st Place
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8.64Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
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6.0Connecticut College2.750.1%1st Place
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6.0Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.730.1%1st Place
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7.49U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.260.1%1st Place
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6.62Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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10.93Salve Regina University0.970.0%1st Place
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6.72Harvard University2.580.1%1st Place
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13.6University of Connecticut-0.870.0%1st Place
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14.38Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annie Schmidt | 9.6% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 10.0% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marly Isler | 8.5% | 12.0% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mariel Marchand | 12.6% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Williams | 15.1% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katelyn Richerts | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 5.7% | 14.6% | 36.5% | 23.5% | 4.7% |
| Heidi Hood | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 10.3% | 12.9% | 14.4% | 15.0% | 7.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Liz Dubovik | 9.5% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Laura Dunphy | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christina Frost | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 13.7% | 7.5% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Courtney Koos | 6.9% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 6.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Mary Clawson | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 26.2% | 25.3% | 7.7% | 0.5% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Marta Chlus | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 5.9% | 14.9% | 44.6% | 27.7% |
| Courtney Collins | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 2.1% | 6.2% | 21.6% | 66.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.