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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.71+5.07vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.26+5.32vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College2.75+2.90vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.98+1.30vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.56+1.65vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.87-0.39vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.73-0.99vs Predicted
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8Boston University0.19+4.16vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.21-4.36vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.58-3.38vs Predicted
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11Yale University2.76-5.00vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.83-3.12vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University0.97-2.13vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.75+0.42vs Predicted
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15University of Connecticut-0.87-1.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.07Roger Williams University2.710.1%1st Place
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7.32U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.260.1%1st Place
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5.9Connecticut College2.750.1%1st Place
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5.3Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
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6.65Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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5.61Brown University2.870.1%1st Place
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6.01Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.730.1%1st Place
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12.16Boston University0.190.0%1st Place
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4.64Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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6.62Harvard University2.580.1%1st Place
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6.0Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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8.88Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
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10.87Salve Regina University0.970.0%1st Place
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14.42Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.750.0%1st Place
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13.55University of Connecticut-0.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annie Schmidt | 9.5% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Christina Frost | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 7.6% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Liz Dubovik | 9.5% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mariel Marchand | 12.4% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Courtney Koos | 7.3% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 9.8% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Laura Dunphy | 10.7% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Katelyn Richerts | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 15.9% | 36.4% | 21.9% | 4.8% |
| Sarah Williams | 14.3% | 14.6% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Marly Isler | 9.5% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Heidi Hood | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 17.9% | 17.2% | 7.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Mary Clawson | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 10.2% | 26.5% | 25.0% | 8.5% | 0.9% |
| Courtney Collins | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 6.4% | 21.8% | 67.2% |
| Marta Chlus | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 6.6% | 13.9% | 45.0% | 27.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.