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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.71+5.26vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.98+3.39vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.21+1.76vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University2.08+4.16vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.58+1.82vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.75+0.22vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.73-0.81vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.87-2.16vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.56-2.32vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.76-3.72vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.26-3.31vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.83-2.83vs Predicted
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13Boston University0.19-0.57vs Predicted
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14University of Connecticut-0.87-0.30vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.75-0.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.26Roger Williams University2.710.1%1st Place
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5.39Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
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4.76Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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8.16Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
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6.82Harvard University2.580.1%1st Place
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6.22Connecticut College2.750.1%1st Place
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6.19Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.730.1%1st Place
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5.84Brown University2.870.1%1st Place
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6.68Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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6.28Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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7.69U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.260.1%1st Place
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9.17Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
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12.43Boston University0.190.0%1st Place
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13.7University of Connecticut-0.870.0%1st Place
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14.4Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annie Schmidt | 10.0% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Mariel Marchand | 10.0% | 13.1% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Williams | 15.0% | 14.6% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Shannon Killian | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 11.5% | 13.3% | 14.5% | 5.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 7.9% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Liz Dubovik | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 4.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Laura Dunphy | 10.0% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 10.2% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Courtney Koos | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Marly Isler | 8.1% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Christina Frost | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 4.8% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Heidi Hood | 3.3% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 13.4% | 23.3% | 9.6% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Katelyn Richerts | 0.3% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 45.3% | 24.6% | 5.7% |
| Marta Chlus | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 17.1% | 46.5% | 27.6% |
| Courtney Collins | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 7.1% | 22.5% | 66.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.