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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.73+5.17vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.87+3.71vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.21+1.74vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.98+1.51vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.58+1.82vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.71+0.33vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.76-0.94vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College2.75-1.80vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.56-2.30vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.83-0.99vs Predicted
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11Boston University0.19+1.40vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.26-4.13vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University2.08-4.61vs Predicted
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14University of Connecticut-0.87-0.31vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.75-0.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.730.1%1st Place
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5.71Brown University2.870.1%1st Place
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4.74Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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5.51Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
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6.82Harvard University2.580.1%1st Place
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6.33Roger Williams University2.710.1%1st Place
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6.06Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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6.2Connecticut College2.750.1%1st Place
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6.7Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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9.01Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
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12.4Boston University0.190.0%1st Place
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7.87U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.260.0%1st Place
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8.39Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
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13.69University of Connecticut-0.870.0%1st Place
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14.4Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laura Dunphy | 9.8% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 8.9% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Williams | 14.8% | 13.8% | 12.8% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mariel Marchand | 11.8% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Annie Schmidt | 8.8% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Marly Isler | 10.5% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Liz Dubovik | 8.8% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 1.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Courtney Koos | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Heidi Hood | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 13.5% | 18.8% | 10.2% | 2.6% | 0.1% |
| Katelyn Richerts | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 8.6% | 42.6% | 24.5% | 6.7% |
| Christina Frost | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 12.9% | 10.7% | 5.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Shannon Killian | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 14.7% | 15.3% | 6.5% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Marta Chlus | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 5.0% | 14.3% | 48.8% | 26.5% |
| Courtney Collins | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 1.6% | 8.4% | 21.3% | 66.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.