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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.71+5.29vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.58+4.60vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.76+3.04vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.21+0.79vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.98+0.63vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.26+1.75vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.73-0.82vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.83+0.91vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.75-2.85vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.87-4.09vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.56-4.18vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University2.08-3.60vs Predicted
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13Boston University0.19-0.55vs Predicted
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14University of Connecticut-0.87-0.31vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.75-0.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.29Roger Williams University2.710.1%1st Place
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6.6Harvard University2.580.1%1st Place
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6.04Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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4.79Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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5.63Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
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7.75U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.260.1%1st Place
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6.18Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.730.1%1st Place
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8.91Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
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6.15Connecticut College2.750.1%1st Place
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5.91Brown University2.870.1%1st Place
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6.82Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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8.4Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
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12.45Boston University0.190.0%1st Place
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13.69University of Connecticut-0.870.0%1st Place
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14.4Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annie Schmidt | 9.5% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 6.5% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Marly Isler | 8.7% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Williams | 14.8% | 15.2% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mariel Marchand | 11.6% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christina Frost | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Laura Dunphy | 9.9% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Heidi Hood | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 21.4% | 9.1% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Liz Dubovik | 8.5% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 9.9% | 7.8% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Courtney Koos | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Shannon Killian | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 13.3% | 15.6% | 6.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Katelyn Richerts | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 7.5% | 45.8% | 24.3% | 5.8% |
| Marta Chlus | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 17.4% | 46.2% | 27.6% |
| Courtney Collins | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 6.3% | 22.9% | 66.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.