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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University3.26+1.56vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.57+1.65vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.84+0.32vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University2.68-0.44vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.57-1.35vs Predicted
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7Brandeis University0.59+0.38vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.81-5.90vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.68-4.97vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.76-6.00vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.76-7.00vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.46-7.33vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.24-8.21vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology-1.06-8.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.56Northeastern University3.260.3%1st Place
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3.65Tufts University2.570.2%1st Place
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3.32Northeastern University2.840.2%1st Place
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3.56Northeastern University2.680.2%1st Place
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3.65Tufts University2.570.2%1st Place
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7.38Brandeis University0.590.0%1st Place
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5.1Tufts University1.810.1%1st Place
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7.03Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.680.0%1st Place
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7.0Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.760.0%1st Place
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7.0Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.760.0%1st Place
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7.67Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.460.0%1st Place
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8.79Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.240.0%1st Place
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9.93Massachusetts Institute of Technology-1.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 30.7% | 24.2% | 20.0% | 14.3% | 6.5% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rolfe Glover | 15.8% | 16.4% | 18.9% | 16.4% | 13.6% | 10.2% | 5.6% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conor Lodge | 18.5% | 20.0% | 17.7% | 17.4% | 14.0% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Goodrich | 16.4% | 17.4% | 16.8% | 19.6% | 13.5% | 8.8% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rolfe Glover | 15.8% | 16.4% | 18.9% | 16.4% | 13.6% | 10.2% | 5.6% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Hardy | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 7.2% | 11.2% | 14.7% | 15.7% | 18.7% | 15.3% | 4.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pierre DuPont | 7.1% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 12.8% | 17.7% | 16.5% | 13.2% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lisa Archibald | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 8.4% | 12.7% | 13.9% | 19.8% | 16.1% | 10.2% | 4.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Beckett Colson | 2.6% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 14.7% | 16.8% | 15.5% | 14.7% | 11.8% | 3.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Beckett Colson | 2.6% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 14.7% | 16.8% | 15.5% | 14.7% | 11.8% | 3.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian Belding | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 14.5% | 18.6% | 18.6% | 16.0% | 7.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Mountjoy | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 11.1% | 16.2% | 29.1% | 21.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noam Buckman | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 16.0% | 58.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.