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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University3.26+1.52vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University2.68+1.33vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.57+0.57vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University2.84-0.88vs Predicted
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6Brandeis University0.59+0.79vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.68-1.35vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.81-4.20vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.46-3.99vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.57-9.43vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology-1.06-4.89vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.24-6.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.52Northeastern University3.260.3%1st Place
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3.33Northeastern University2.680.2%1st Place
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3.57Tufts University2.570.2%1st Place
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3.12Northeastern University2.840.2%1st Place
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6.79Brandeis University0.590.0%1st Place
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6.65Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.680.0%1st Place
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4.8Tufts University1.810.1%1st Place
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7.01Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.460.0%1st Place
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3.57Tufts University2.570.2%1st Place
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9.11Massachusetts Institute of Technology-1.060.0%1st Place
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8.1Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 33.8% | 22.9% | 19.2% | 12.8% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Goodrich | 16.6% | 21.0% | 18.6% | 16.9% | 14.7% | 8.4% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rolfe Glover | 15.4% | 15.1% | 18.1% | 21.6% | 15.4% | 8.7% | 4.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conor Lodge | 18.7% | 23.0% | 20.0% | 16.8% | 12.1% | 7.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Hardy | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 13.2% | 20.9% | 22.0% | 16.1% | 5.3% | 0.0% |
| Lisa Archibald | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 16.4% | 19.8% | 21.3% | 14.6% | 4.3% | 0.0% |
| Pierre DuPont | 6.3% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 14.0% | 22.6% | 17.5% | 12.4% | 5.5% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Brian Belding | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 8.0% | 14.8% | 18.5% | 22.4% | 18.3% | 6.7% | 0.0% |
| Rolfe Glover | 15.4% | 15.1% | 18.1% | 21.6% | 15.4% | 8.7% | 4.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noam Buckman | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 18.5% | 60.7% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Mountjoy | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 7.5% | 12.1% | 18.0% | 30.4% | 22.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.