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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University3.26+1.50vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University2.84+1.14vs Predicted
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3Brandeis University0.59+3.91vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.57-0.46vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.68-1.69vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.57-2.46vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.68-1.34vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.81-4.19vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.46-4.02vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.24-3.90vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology-1.06-3.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.5Northeastern University3.260.3%1st Place
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3.14Northeastern University2.840.2%1st Place
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6.91Brandeis University0.590.0%1st Place
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3.54Tufts University2.570.1%1st Place
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3.31Northeastern University2.680.2%1st Place
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3.54Tufts University2.570.1%1st Place
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6.66Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.680.0%1st Place
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4.81Tufts University1.810.1%1st Place
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6.98Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.460.0%1st Place
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8.1Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.240.0%1st Place
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9.06Massachusetts Institute of Technology-1.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 34.1% | 23.9% | 18.1% | 11.7% | 7.4% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conor Lodge | 19.1% | 22.7% | 19.5% | 16.0% | 13.5% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Hardy | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 13.7% | 19.4% | 23.8% | 17.2% | 5.3% | 0.0% |
| Rolfe Glover | 14.6% | 16.3% | 20.2% | 20.3% | 14.1% | 9.1% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Goodrich | 18.2% | 18.1% | 19.2% | 19.3% | 14.5% | 7.0% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rolfe Glover | 14.6% | 16.3% | 20.2% | 20.3% | 14.1% | 9.1% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lisa Archibald | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 9.9% | 14.9% | 20.2% | 20.8% | 14.5% | 4.7% | 0.0% |
| Pierre DuPont | 6.2% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 13.9% | 20.4% | 21.1% | 12.0% | 5.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Brian Belding | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 12.9% | 20.7% | 20.6% | 18.4% | 7.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Mountjoy | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 7.8% | 12.2% | 17.2% | 30.6% | 23.1% | 0.0% |
| Noam Buckman | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 9.9% | 17.4% | 59.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.