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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University3.26+1.48vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.57+1.53vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.57+0.53vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University2.84-0.86vs Predicted
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5Brandeis University0.59+1.87vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.68-2.69vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.46+0.03vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.24-1.86vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.68-4.33vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.81-9.25vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology-1.06-5.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.48Northeastern University3.260.3%1st Place
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3.53Tufts University2.570.1%1st Place
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3.53Tufts University2.570.1%1st Place
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3.14Northeastern University2.840.2%1st Place
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6.87Brandeis University0.590.0%1st Place
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3.31Northeastern University2.680.2%1st Place
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7.03Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.460.0%1st Place
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8.14Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.240.0%1st Place
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6.67Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.680.0%1st Place
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4.75Tufts University1.810.1%1st Place
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9.09Massachusetts Institute of Technology-1.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 33.9% | 24.9% | 17.4% | 11.9% | 7.7% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rolfe Glover | 14.7% | 17.0% | 19.4% | 19.9% | 14.0% | 10.0% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rolfe Glover | 14.7% | 17.0% | 19.4% | 19.9% | 14.0% | 10.0% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conor Lodge | 20.0% | 18.6% | 21.8% | 18.6% | 11.7% | 6.8% | 2.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Hardy | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 15.5% | 20.5% | 23.0% | 16.1% | 4.4% | 0.0% |
| Scott Goodrich | 17.5% | 20.0% | 18.9% | 17.7% | 14.8% | 7.0% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian Belding | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 8.1% | 12.5% | 19.8% | 20.3% | 18.3% | 8.8% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Mountjoy | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 19.5% | 30.7% | 22.2% | 0.0% |
| Lisa Archibald | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 10.0% | 15.7% | 19.5% | 21.5% | 13.8% | 4.7% | 0.0% |
| Pierre DuPont | 6.6% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 13.9% | 20.6% | 17.5% | 13.0% | 5.3% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Noam Buckman | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 18.9% | 59.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.