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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University3.26+1.48vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University2.68+1.34vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.84+0.13vs Predicted
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4Brandeis University0.59+2.87vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.57-1.53vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.46+1.01vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.57-3.53vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.81-3.17vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.68-5.33vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.24-6.88vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology-1.06-6.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.48Northeastern University3.260.3%1st Place
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3.34Northeastern University2.680.2%1st Place
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3.13Northeastern University2.840.2%1st Place
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6.87Brandeis University0.590.0%1st Place
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3.47Tufts University2.570.2%1st Place
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7.01Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.460.0%1st Place
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3.47Tufts University2.570.2%1st Place
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4.83Tufts University1.810.1%1st Place
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6.67Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.680.0%1st Place
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8.12Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.240.0%1st Place
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9.08Massachusetts Institute of Technology-1.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 34.2% | 24.1% | 16.8% | 14.3% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Goodrich | 16.8% | 20.3% | 18.9% | 16.6% | 16.1% | 7.4% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conor Lodge | 19.7% | 20.4% | 20.5% | 18.1% | 12.3% | 6.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Hardy | 1.6% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 8.7% | 15.0% | 23.1% | 21.8% | 15.5% | 4.6% | 0.0% |
| Rolfe Glover | 16.3% | 17.4% | 18.3% | 19.6% | 14.8% | 8.6% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brian Belding | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 7.9% | 12.8% | 18.8% | 21.8% | 18.5% | 7.8% | 0.0% |
| Rolfe Glover | 16.3% | 17.4% | 18.3% | 19.6% | 14.8% | 8.6% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Pierre DuPont | 5.6% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 15.3% | 21.0% | 18.1% | 12.4% | 6.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Lisa Archibald | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 8.8% | 16.9% | 20.3% | 20.4% | 13.9% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Mountjoy | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 6.6% | 11.6% | 18.0% | 32.5% | 22.3% | 0.0% |
| Noam Buckman | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 9.5% | 17.9% | 60.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.