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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan3.02+0.58vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan1.32+1.40vs Predicted
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3Purdue University-0.13+2.51vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University1.28-0.50vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University0.91-0.95vs Predicted
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6Western Michigan University0.51-1.40vs Predicted
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7Michigan State University-1.40+0.13vs Predicted
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8Hope College-0.65-1.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.58University of Michigan3.020.6%1st Place
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3.4University of Michigan1.320.1%1st Place
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5.51Purdue University-0.130.0%1st Place
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3.5Northwestern University1.280.1%1st Place
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4.05Ohio State University0.910.1%1st Place
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4.6Western Michigan University0.510.1%1st Place
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7.13Michigan State University-1.400.0%1st Place
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6.24Hope College-0.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Seago | 60.7% | 26.0% | 9.6% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Barch | 11.6% | 21.0% | 22.0% | 20.9% | 13.3% | 8.3% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Evan Williams | 3.4% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 15.7% | 21.9% | 25.0% | 11.1% |
| Ryan Anderson | 9.9% | 21.2% | 20.3% | 22.6% | 13.9% | 8.6% | 3.1% | 0.4% |
| Adam Gilbertson | 7.1% | 13.2% | 18.5% | 20.5% | 18.5% | 15.4% | 5.7% | 1.1% |
| Jack Greve | 5.4% | 8.1% | 15.7% | 15.8% | 21.3% | 17.9% | 12.6% | 3.2% |
| Andrew Lauten | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 18.6% | 61.1% |
| Scott Brandonisio | 0.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 11.2% | 19.3% | 32.5% | 22.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.