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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan1.32+2.35vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University1.28+1.50vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University0.91+1.01vs Predicted
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4Purdue University-0.13+1.61vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan3.02-3.44vs Predicted
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6Western Michigan University0.51-1.40vs Predicted
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7Michigan State University-1.40+0.12vs Predicted
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8Hope College-0.65-1.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.35University of Michigan1.320.1%1st Place
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3.5Northwestern University1.280.1%1st Place
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4.01Ohio State University0.910.1%1st Place
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5.61Purdue University-0.130.0%1st Place
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1.56University of Michigan3.020.6%1st Place
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4.6Western Michigan University0.510.0%1st Place
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7.12Michigan State University-1.400.0%1st Place
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6.25Hope College-0.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Barch | 11.2% | 22.7% | 23.7% | 18.7% | 13.7% | 7.1% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Ryan Anderson | 10.5% | 18.7% | 23.7% | 20.4% | 14.5% | 9.3% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Adam Gilbertson | 6.9% | 15.4% | 15.4% | 22.4% | 20.0% | 12.7% | 5.9% | 1.3% |
| Evan Williams | 2.3% | 4.6% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 14.7% | 23.8% | 26.7% | 10.8% |
| Ryan Seago | 62.1% | 24.2% | 10.0% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Greve | 4.9% | 9.5% | 13.0% | 17.8% | 21.6% | 18.1% | 11.6% | 3.5% |
| Andrew Lauten | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 8.9% | 18.0% | 60.9% |
| Scott Brandonisio | 1.1% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 10.0% | 20.0% | 33.0% | 22.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.