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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.5
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.14+1.02vs Predicted
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2Fairfield University0.42-0.53vs Predicted
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3Williams College-0.90-0.24vs Predicted
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4Wesleyan University-2.87-0.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.02University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.1426.6%1st Place
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1.47Fairfield University0.4261.0%1st Place
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2.76Williams College-0.9010.4%1st Place
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3.75Wesleyan University-2.872.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Fairfax | 26.6% | 47.7% | 23.1% | 2.6% |
| Nolan Cooper | 61.0% | 31.2% | 7.2% | 0.6% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 10.4% | 17.8% | 57.4% | 14.4% |
| Benjamin Siegel | 2.1% | 3.2% | 12.3% | 82.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.