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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.2
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fairfield University0.42+0.47vs Predicted
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2University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.14-0.01vs Predicted
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3Williams College-0.90-0.23vs Predicted
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4Wesleyan University-2.87-0.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.47Fairfield University0.4261.6%1st Place
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1.99University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.1427.3%1st Place
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2.77Williams College-0.909.5%1st Place
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3.77Wesleyan University-2.871.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nolan Cooper | 61.6% | 30.2% | 7.8% | 0.3% |
| Charlie Fairfax | 27.3% | 48.8% | 21.6% | 2.4% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 9.5% | 18.4% | 57.9% | 14.2% |
| Benjamin Siegel | 1.6% | 2.6% | 12.8% | 83.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.