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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan1.32+2.53vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan3.02-0.38vs Predicted
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3Western Michigan University0.51+1.85vs Predicted
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4Ohio State University0.91+0.24vs Predicted
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5Purdue University-0.13+0.79vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University1.28-2.38vs Predicted
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7Hope College0.40-1.94vs Predicted
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8Michigan State University-1.40-0.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.53University of Michigan1.320.1%1st Place
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1.62University of Michigan3.020.6%1st Place
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4.85Western Michigan University0.510.1%1st Place
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4.24Ohio State University0.910.1%1st Place
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5.79Purdue University-0.130.0%1st Place
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3.62Northwestern University1.280.1%1st Place
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5.06Hope College0.400.0%1st Place
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7.28Michigan State University-1.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Barch | 11.5% | 20.0% | 22.4% | 16.9% | 14.8% | 9.3% | 4.3% | 0.8% |
| Ryan Seago | 58.6% | 26.9% | 9.3% | 4.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Greve | 5.2% | 8.4% | 12.4% | 14.2% | 18.3% | 17.8% | 18.8% | 4.9% |
| Adam Gilbertson | 7.2% | 12.2% | 17.0% | 18.4% | 17.1% | 16.3% | 9.7% | 2.1% |
| Evan Williams | 2.9% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 19.1% | 30.1% | 15.5% |
| Ryan Anderson | 9.9% | 18.9% | 22.2% | 18.4% | 15.6% | 10.0% | 4.1% | 0.9% |
| Evan Rodgers | 4.1% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 15.1% | 16.7% | 21.6% | 18.8% | 6.8% |
| Andrew Lauten | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 14.2% | 69.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.