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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan3.02+0.60vs Predicted
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2Ohio State University0.91+2.25vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University1.28+0.61vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan1.32-0.39vs Predicted
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5Purdue University-0.13+0.84vs Predicted
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6Western Michigan University0.51-1.21vs Predicted
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7Hope College0.40-1.96vs Predicted
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8Michigan State University-1.40-0.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.6University of Michigan3.020.6%1st Place
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4.25Ohio State University0.910.1%1st Place
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3.61Northwestern University1.280.1%1st Place
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3.61University of Michigan1.320.1%1st Place
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5.84Purdue University-0.130.0%1st Place
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4.79Western Michigan University0.510.1%1st Place
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5.04Hope College0.400.0%1st Place
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7.27Michigan State University-1.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Seago | 60.4% | 24.8% | 10.1% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adam Gilbertson | 6.5% | 13.2% | 16.2% | 19.2% | 18.0% | 14.9% | 8.9% | 3.1% |
| Ryan Anderson | 10.3% | 20.1% | 20.6% | 17.5% | 16.0% | 10.9% | 4.0% | 0.6% |
| Rachel Barch | 10.1% | 21.1% | 18.4% | 19.2% | 16.3% | 10.3% | 3.8% | 0.8% |
| Evan Williams | 2.4% | 3.9% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 18.8% | 31.0% | 16.1% |
| Jack Greve | 5.7% | 7.1% | 13.7% | 15.9% | 17.7% | 17.9% | 17.9% | 4.1% |
| Evan Rodgers | 4.3% | 7.8% | 11.3% | 13.1% | 16.3% | 20.8% | 19.5% | 6.9% |
| Andrew Lauten | 0.3% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 6.3% | 14.8% | 68.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.