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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.3
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fairfield University0.42+0.51vs Predicted
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2University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.14+0.03vs Predicted
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3Williams College-0.90-0.26vs Predicted
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4Wesleyan University-2.87-0.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.51Fairfield University0.4258.3%1st Place
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2.03University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.1428.6%1st Place
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2.74Williams College-0.9010.5%1st Place
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3.72Wesleyan University-2.872.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nolan Cooper | 58.3% | 32.7% | 8.4% | 0.6% |
| Charlie Fairfax | 28.6% | 43.0% | 25.4% | 2.9% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 10.5% | 20.0% | 54.5% | 15.0% |
| Benjamin Siegel | 2.5% | 4.3% | 11.7% | 81.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.