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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fairfield University0.42+0.49vs Predicted
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2Williams College-0.90+0.72vs Predicted
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3University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.14-0.99vs Predicted
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4Wesleyan University-2.87-0.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.49Fairfield University0.4260.3%1st Place
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2.72Williams College-0.9010.3%1st Place
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2.01University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.1427.6%1st Place
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3.78Wesleyan University-2.871.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nolan Cooper | 60.3% | 30.6% | 8.6% | 0.4% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 10.3% | 20.6% | 56.0% | 13.1% |
| Charlie Fairfax | 27.6% | 45.7% | 24.3% | 2.4% |
| Benjamin Siegel | 1.8% | 3.0% | 11.1% | 84.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.