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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan3.02+0.58vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University1.28+1.47vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University0.91+1.00vs Predicted
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4Purdue University-0.13+1.57vs Predicted
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5Western Michigan University0.51-0.41vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan1.32-2.61vs Predicted
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7Hope College-0.65-0.69vs Predicted
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8Michigan State University-1.40-0.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.58University of Michigan3.020.6%1st Place
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3.47Northwestern University1.280.1%1st Place
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4.0Ohio State University0.910.1%1st Place
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5.57Purdue University-0.130.0%1st Place
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4.59Western Michigan University0.510.0%1st Place
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3.39University of Michigan1.320.1%1st Place
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6.31Hope College-0.650.0%1st Place
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7.08Michigan State University-1.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Seago | 61.0% | 24.9% | 10.2% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Anderson | 11.1% | 18.8% | 24.8% | 18.9% | 13.8% | 9.5% | 2.9% | 0.2% |
| Adam Gilbertson | 7.9% | 14.0% | 17.8% | 20.3% | 18.9% | 14.0% | 5.8% | 1.3% |
| Evan Williams | 2.2% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 15.6% | 24.7% | 23.0% | 12.0% |
| Jack Greve | 4.8% | 9.4% | 12.7% | 18.4% | 21.6% | 18.6% | 11.7% | 2.8% |
| Rachel Barch | 10.9% | 22.3% | 21.4% | 20.7% | 14.8% | 7.2% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Scott Brandonisio | 1.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 16.7% | 32.4% | 26.8% |
| Andrew Lauten | 0.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 5.3% | 9.3% | 22.0% | 56.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.