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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan3.02+0.55vs Predicted
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2Ohio State University0.91+2.04vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University1.28+0.47vs Predicted
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4Hope College-0.65+2.29vs Predicted
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5Western Michigan University0.51-0.36vs Predicted
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6Purdue University-0.13-0.47vs Predicted
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7Michigan State University-1.40+0.10vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan1.32-4.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.55University of Michigan3.020.6%1st Place
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4.04Ohio State University0.910.1%1st Place
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3.47Northwestern University1.280.1%1st Place
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6.29Hope College-0.650.0%1st Place
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4.64Western Michigan University0.510.0%1st Place
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5.53Purdue University-0.130.0%1st Place
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7.1Michigan State University-1.400.0%1st Place
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3.37University of Michigan1.320.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Seago | 62.3% | 25.2% | 8.2% | 3.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Gilbertson | 7.4% | 13.0% | 18.2% | 20.7% | 19.9% | 13.0% | 7.1% | 0.7% |
| Ryan Anderson | 11.3% | 19.1% | 22.6% | 21.4% | 13.4% | 9.1% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Scott Brandonisio | 1.0% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 10.6% | 17.9% | 32.5% | 24.8% |
| Jack Greve | 4.0% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 16.9% | 23.5% | 18.9% | 12.1% | 2.7% |
| Evan Williams | 3.2% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 11.2% | 14.7% | 25.1% | 22.2% | 11.9% |
| Andrew Lauten | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 8.8% | 20.3% | 58.9% |
| Rachel Barch | 9.9% | 23.2% | 25.5% | 17.9% | 12.7% | 7.1% | 3.3% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.