← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Northwestern University1.28+2.36vs Predicted
-
2Ohio State University0.91+1.88vs Predicted
-
3University of Michigan1.580.00vs Predicted
-
4Michigan State University-1.40+2.50vs Predicted
-
5University of Michigan3.02-3.42vs Predicted
-
6Purdue University-0.13-0.74vs Predicted
-
7Hope College0.40-2.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.36Northwestern University1.280.1%1st Place
-
3.88Ohio State University0.910.1%1st Place
-
3.0University of Michigan1.580.1%1st Place
-
6.5Michigan State University-1.400.0%1st Place
-
1.58University of Michigan3.020.6%1st Place
-
5.26Purdue University-0.130.0%1st Place
-
4.43Hope College0.400.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Anderson | 11.5% | 19.8% | 24.2% | 20.7% | 14.3% | 8.6% | 0.9% |
| Adam Gilbertson | 6.1% | 14.3% | 18.5% | 24.9% | 21.7% | 11.8% | 2.7% |
| Ellen Dubois | 14.3% | 25.3% | 25.9% | 20.2% | 10.0% | 3.9% | 0.4% |
| Andrew Lauten | 0.2% | 0.4% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 6.6% | 14.6% | 72.8% |
| Ryan Seago | 60.5% | 25.8% | 9.5% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Evan Williams | 1.9% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 12.5% | 18.6% | 38.3% | 17.3% |
| Evan Rodgers | 5.5% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 15.6% | 28.0% | 22.8% | 5.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.