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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan3.02+0.53vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University1.28+1.36vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan1.580.00vs Predicted
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4Purdue University-0.13+1.28vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University0.91-1.08vs Predicted
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6Hope College0.40-1.47vs Predicted
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7Michigan State University-1.40-0.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.53University of Michigan3.020.6%1st Place
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3.36Northwestern University1.280.1%1st Place
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3.0University of Michigan1.580.1%1st Place
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5.28Purdue University-0.130.0%1st Place
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3.92Ohio State University0.910.1%1st Place
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4.53Hope College0.400.0%1st Place
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6.38Michigan State University-1.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Seago | 63.3% | 25.1% | 7.8% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Anderson | 11.0% | 19.4% | 25.2% | 21.0% | 15.1% | 7.2% | 1.1% |
| Ellen Dubois | 12.7% | 28.7% | 24.6% | 18.7% | 11.1% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
| Evan Williams | 1.1% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 12.8% | 18.9% | 38.7% | 16.9% |
| Adam Gilbertson | 6.7% | 12.9% | 19.8% | 22.7% | 22.2% | 11.9% | 3.8% |
| Evan Rodgers | 4.5% | 8.0% | 13.1% | 17.6% | 25.0% | 24.6% | 7.2% |
| Andrew Lauten | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 14.1% | 70.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.