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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan1.58+1.83vs Predicted
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2Hope College-0.65+3.53vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University1.28+0.21vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan3.02-2.48vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University0.91-1.27vs Predicted
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6Purdue University-0.13-1.01vs Predicted
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7Michigan State University-1.40-0.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.83University of Michigan1.580.2%1st Place
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5.53Hope College-0.650.0%1st Place
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3.21Northwestern University1.280.1%1st Place
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1.52University of Michigan3.020.6%1st Place
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3.73Ohio State University0.910.1%1st Place
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4.99Purdue University-0.130.0%1st Place
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6.19Michigan State University-1.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ellen Dubois | 16.1% | 28.4% | 26.3% | 17.6% | 8.8% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Scott Brandonisio | 1.3% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 8.5% | 20.4% | 36.4% | 25.0% |
| Ryan Anderson | 11.5% | 20.2% | 26.4% | 24.6% | 12.4% | 4.3% | 0.6% |
| Ryan Seago | 61.4% | 27.7% | 8.9% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adam Gilbertson | 6.1% | 14.2% | 21.9% | 28.0% | 20.0% | 7.9% | 1.9% |
| Evan Williams | 2.6% | 4.7% | 8.4% | 14.7% | 27.9% | 28.5% | 13.2% |
| Andrew Lauten | 1.0% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 10.3% | 20.3% | 59.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.