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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University1.79+5.97vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.20+3.88vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.57+1.88vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.64+7.46vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.16+0.92vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.26+2.37vs Predicted
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7Hampton University0.72+5.58vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.54+0.87vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University0.73+1.45vs Predicted
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10Webb Institute1.73-3.82vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.13-4.05vs Predicted
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12Virginia Tech-0.20+1.99vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.05-6.42vs Predicted
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14Penn State University1.13-4.00vs Predicted
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15Columbia University0.43-2.68vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College-0.13-1.99vs Predicted
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17George Washington University0.93-6.40vs Predicted
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18Washington College-0.55-3.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.97Cornell University1.797.8%1st Place
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5.88Georgetown University2.2010.0%1st Place
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4.88U. S. Naval Academy2.5715.0%1st Place
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11.46U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.642.6%1st Place
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5.92University of Pennsylvania2.1610.1%1st Place
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8.37Old Dominion University1.265.1%1st Place
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12.58Hampton University0.721.8%1st Place
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8.87Fordham University1.545.2%1st Place
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10.45Christopher Newport University0.733.6%1st Place
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6.18Webb Institute1.7310.2%1st Place
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6.95Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.138.3%1st Place
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13.99Virginia Tech-0.201.0%1st Place
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6.58St. Mary's College of Maryland2.058.7%1st Place
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10.0Penn State University1.133.0%1st Place
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12.32Columbia University0.431.8%1st Place
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14.01SUNY Maritime College-0.130.9%1st Place
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10.6George Washington University0.933.7%1st Place
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15.0Washington College-0.550.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Devling | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Diego Escobar | 10.0% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Henry Allgeier | 15.0% | 13.2% | 13.2% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Calvin Marsh | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 3.6% |
| Jackson McAliley | 10.1% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Goodwin | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Stefano Palamara | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 13.5% | 10.4% | 8.2% |
| Lucas Thress | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Joshua Bendura | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 2.2% |
| Rayne Duff | 10.2% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| JJ Klempen | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Daniel Hale | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 16.8% | 20.4% |
| Charlie Anderson | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Barrett Lhamon | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 1.6% |
| Eva DeCastro | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 6.9% |
| Luke Barker | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 13.2% | 17.6% | 18.8% |
| Avery Canavan | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 2.4% |
| Austin Latimer | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 17.4% | 34.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.