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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Texas1.65+1.46vs Predicted
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2University of New Hampshire0.68+2.30vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.59+0.18vs Predicted
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4Fairfield University0.73+0.10vs Predicted
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5Columbia University-0.13+0.71vs Predicted
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6Bates College-0.33+0.24vs Predicted
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7University of North Texas-0.15-1.09vs Predicted
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8University of Delaware-0.81-0.87vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-0.33-3.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.46University of Texas1.6535.4%1st Place
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4.3University of New Hampshire0.6810.2%1st Place
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3.18Northeastern University1.5920.6%1st Place
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4.1Fairfield University0.7311.9%1st Place
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5.71Columbia University-0.134.7%1st Place
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6.24Bates College-0.334.8%1st Place
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5.91University of North Texas-0.154.6%1st Place
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7.13University of Delaware-0.812.8%1st Place
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5.98University of California at San Diego-0.335.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Froelich | 35.4% | 24.5% | 17.2% | 12.1% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Grace Cannon | 10.2% | 13.6% | 14.6% | 15.8% | 16.5% | 12.4% | 9.6% | 5.4% | 2.0% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 20.6% | 20.4% | 20.3% | 15.6% | 11.1% | 7.2% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 11.9% | 14.2% | 16.4% | 15.9% | 15.2% | 11.8% | 8.3% | 4.5% | 1.8% |
| Chase O'Malley | 4.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 15.2% | 15.3% | 16.3% | 11.1% |
| Harry Stevenson | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 16.4% | 20.3% | 18.1% |
| Taylor Snyder | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 14.1% | 16.6% | 18.1% | 12.5% |
| Pearce Bragaw | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 18.4% | 38.4% |
| Sebastien Franck | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 12.2% | 13.7% | 16.9% | 15.7% | 15.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.