← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Michigan1.58+1.85vs Predicted
-
2Hope College-0.65+3.53vs Predicted
-
3Ohio State University0.91+0.66vs Predicted
-
4Northwestern University1.28-0.76vs Predicted
-
5University of Michigan3.02-3.48vs Predicted
-
6Purdue University-0.13-0.99vs Predicted
-
7Michigan State University-1.40-0.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.85University of Michigan1.580.2%1st Place
-
5.53Hope College-0.650.0%1st Place
-
3.66Ohio State University0.910.1%1st Place
-
3.24Northwestern University1.280.1%1st Place
-
1.52University of Michigan3.020.6%1st Place
-
5.01Purdue University-0.130.0%1st Place
-
6.19Michigan State University-1.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ellen Dubois | 15.9% | 28.3% | 26.5% | 17.5% | 8.6% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Scott Brandonisio | 1.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 9.5% | 19.6% | 36.2% | 25.5% |
| Adam Gilbertson | 7.5% | 13.7% | 23.4% | 27.3% | 18.6% | 7.5% | 2.0% |
| Ryan Anderson | 10.2% | 20.9% | 26.6% | 24.7% | 13.0% | 4.1% | 0.5% |
| Ryan Seago | 62.4% | 26.4% | 8.4% | 2.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Evan Williams | 2.1% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 13.6% | 30.5% | 27.6% | 13.2% |
| Andrew Lauten | 0.7% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 9.5% | 21.7% | 58.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.