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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Texas1.65+1.43vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.59+1.23vs Predicted
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3Columbia University-0.13+2.63vs Predicted
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4Fairfield University0.73+0.18vs Predicted
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5Bates College-0.33+1.15vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire0.68-1.70vs Predicted
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7University of North Texas-0.15-1.00vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-0.33-2.11vs Predicted
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9University of Delaware-0.81-1.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.43University of Texas1.6534.8%1st Place
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3.23Northeastern University1.5920.6%1st Place
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5.63Columbia University-0.136.6%1st Place
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4.18Fairfield University0.7311.5%1st Place
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6.15Bates College-0.333.7%1st Place
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4.3University of New Hampshire0.6810.1%1st Place
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6.0University of North Texas-0.155.1%1st Place
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5.89University of California at San Diego-0.335.1%1st Place
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7.18University of Delaware-0.812.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Froelich | 34.8% | 26.0% | 17.4% | 10.8% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 20.6% | 19.8% | 19.5% | 14.8% | 13.2% | 7.2% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Chase O'Malley | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 15.3% | 15.2% | 15.0% | 10.8% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 11.5% | 14.8% | 14.7% | 14.8% | 15.3% | 13.0% | 9.7% | 4.6% | 1.7% |
| Harry Stevenson | 3.7% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 13.1% | 16.0% | 19.0% | 16.3% |
| Grace Cannon | 10.1% | 14.0% | 15.2% | 15.9% | 14.7% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 5.5% | 2.0% |
| Taylor Snyder | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 16.0% | 15.5% | 17.8% | 14.8% |
| Sebastien Franck | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 14.8% | 18.2% | 15.1% |
| Pearce Bragaw | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 13.2% | 18.4% | 39.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.