← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Michigan1.58+1.95vs Predicted
-
2University of Michigan3.02-0.43vs Predicted
-
3Northwestern University1.28+0.38vs Predicted
-
4Ohio State University0.91-0.08vs Predicted
-
5Purdue University-0.13+0.25vs Predicted
-
6Hope College0.40-1.42vs Predicted
-
7Michigan State University-1.40-0.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.95University of Michigan1.580.2%1st Place
-
1.57University of Michigan3.020.6%1st Place
-
3.38Northwestern University1.280.1%1st Place
-
3.92Ohio State University0.910.1%1st Place
-
5.25Purdue University-0.130.0%1st Place
-
4.58Hope College0.400.0%1st Place
-
6.36Michigan State University-1.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ellen Dubois | 15.9% | 27.1% | 23.5% | 18.6% | 10.6% | 3.6% | 0.7% |
| Ryan Seago | 61.4% | 25.9% | 8.7% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Anderson | 10.4% | 18.1% | 27.1% | 21.0% | 15.6% | 6.2% | 1.6% |
| Adam Gilbertson | 6.3% | 14.2% | 18.5% | 22.4% | 22.5% | 13.4% | 2.7% |
| Evan Williams | 1.9% | 4.4% | 7.9% | 11.3% | 19.7% | 36.8% | 18.0% |
| Evan Rodgers | 3.4% | 8.5% | 11.9% | 19.3% | 24.5% | 24.9% | 7.5% |
| Andrew Lauten | 0.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 15.0% | 69.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.