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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan1.85+1.27vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University1.16+1.19vs Predicted
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3Western Michigan University0.33+1.58vs Predicted
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4Ohio State University0.62+0.11vs Predicted
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5Purdue University1.14-1.67vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan0.21-1.30vs Predicted
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7Hope College-0.71-1.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.27University of Michigan1.850.4%1st Place
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3.19Northwestern University1.160.2%1st Place
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4.58Western Michigan University0.330.1%1st Place
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4.11Ohio State University0.620.1%1st Place
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3.33Purdue University1.140.1%1st Place
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4.7University of Michigan0.210.1%1st Place
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5.82Hope College-0.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Etheridge | 39.4% | 24.5% | 16.6% | 11.2% | 6.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| Travis Cottle | 17.9% | 21.3% | 19.3% | 18.8% | 13.0% | 7.3% | 2.4% |
| Vytenis Karaitis | 7.0% | 8.4% | 12.1% | 15.2% | 20.9% | 22.0% | 14.4% |
| Corinne Sackett | 10.3% | 13.0% | 13.6% | 17.6% | 18.3% | 18.9% | 8.3% |
| Grant Pollock | 15.0% | 21.7% | 20.6% | 16.6% | 13.7% | 9.1% | 3.3% |
| Karinne Smolenyak | 7.7% | 6.9% | 12.5% | 13.3% | 17.6% | 24.2% | 17.8% |
| Lauren Aprill | 2.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 17.2% | 53.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.