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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Texas1.65+1.37vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.59+1.23vs Predicted
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3Fairfield University0.73+1.16vs Predicted
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4Columbia University-0.13+1.68vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire0.68-0.69vs Predicted
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6Bates College-0.33+0.15vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-0.33-1.07vs Predicted
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8University of North Texas-0.15-1.97vs Predicted
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9University of Delaware-0.81-1.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.37University of Texas1.6535.2%1st Place
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3.23Northeastern University1.5920.5%1st Place
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4.16Fairfield University0.7310.8%1st Place
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5.68Columbia University-0.135.7%1st Place
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4.31University of New Hampshire0.6811.5%1st Place
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6.15Bates College-0.334.5%1st Place
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5.93University of California at San Diego-0.335.2%1st Place
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6.03University of North Texas-0.153.8%1st Place
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7.14University of Delaware-0.812.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Froelich | 35.2% | 26.8% | 17.9% | 11.1% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 20.5% | 20.8% | 19.0% | 15.7% | 11.2% | 7.3% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 10.8% | 14.6% | 15.2% | 17.2% | 15.6% | 11.5% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 1.9% |
| Chase O'Malley | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 13.5% | 13.8% | 16.7% | 16.1% | 10.4% |
| Grace Cannon | 11.5% | 11.8% | 14.9% | 15.2% | 16.0% | 13.6% | 10.0% | 4.9% | 2.1% |
| Harry Stevenson | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 14.4% | 15.8% | 16.9% | 18.1% |
| Sebastien Franck | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 15.2% | 18.3% | 14.2% |
| Taylor Snyder | 3.8% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 14.5% | 15.2% | 18.1% | 14.7% |
| Pearce Bragaw | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 8.8% | 14.3% | 18.9% | 38.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.