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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Texas1.65+1.46vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.59+1.16vs Predicted
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3Fairfield University0.73+1.17vs Predicted
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4Columbia University-0.13+1.66vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire0.68-0.77vs Predicted
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6Bates College-0.33+0.21vs Predicted
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7University of North Texas-0.15-1.08vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-0.33-1.94vs Predicted
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9University of Delaware-0.81-1.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.46University of Texas1.6533.3%1st Place
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3.16Northeastern University1.5921.9%1st Place
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4.17Fairfield University0.7311.5%1st Place
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5.66Columbia University-0.135.9%1st Place
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4.23University of New Hampshire0.6811.6%1st Place
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6.21Bates College-0.333.2%1st Place
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5.92University of North Texas-0.155.2%1st Place
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6.06University of California at San Diego-0.335.2%1st Place
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7.13University of Delaware-0.812.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Froelich | 33.3% | 26.4% | 17.9% | 11.8% | 6.3% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 21.9% | 19.4% | 20.4% | 16.3% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 11.5% | 14.8% | 14.8% | 15.7% | 15.0% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 4.9% | 1.6% |
| Chase O'Malley | 5.9% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 14.8% | 15.6% | 15.6% | 11.1% |
| Grace Cannon | 11.6% | 13.0% | 15.4% | 15.5% | 15.7% | 12.6% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 1.4% |
| Harry Stevenson | 3.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 14.0% | 15.6% | 19.8% | 16.4% |
| Taylor Snyder | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 14.2% | 16.0% | 17.2% | 13.7% |
| Sebastien Franck | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 11.3% | 13.7% | 16.5% | 18.3% | 15.4% |
| Pearce Bragaw | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 12.5% | 16.8% | 40.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.