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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan1.85+1.31vs Predicted
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2Ohio State University0.62+2.08vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University1.16+0.26vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan0.21+0.75vs Predicted
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5Hope College-0.71+0.93vs Predicted
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6Purdue University1.14-2.68vs Predicted
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7Western Michigan University0.33-2.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.31University of Michigan1.850.4%1st Place
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4.08Ohio State University0.620.1%1st Place
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3.26Northwestern University1.160.2%1st Place
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4.75University of Michigan0.210.1%1st Place
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5.93Hope College-0.710.0%1st Place
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3.32Purdue University1.140.2%1st Place
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4.35Western Michigan University0.330.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Etheridge | 38.4% | 24.2% | 18.2% | 10.3% | 5.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Corinne Sackett | 9.3% | 14.2% | 13.4% | 19.2% | 19.3% | 15.4% | 9.2% |
| Travis Cottle | 16.4% | 20.5% | 20.8% | 19.1% | 12.3% | 7.9% | 3.0% |
| Karinne Smolenyak | 6.5% | 7.2% | 11.6% | 13.6% | 18.3% | 26.2% | 16.6% |
| Lauren Aprill | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 10.4% | 17.1% | 56.0% |
| Grant Pollock | 17.6% | 18.4% | 20.0% | 18.9% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 2.9% |
| Vytenis Karaitis | 9.5% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 13.3% | 22.1% | 20.8% | 11.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.