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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.59+2.20vs Predicted
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2University of Texas1.65+0.44vs Predicted
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3Columbia University-0.13+2.59vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire0.68+0.26vs Predicted
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5Bates College-0.33+1.22vs Predicted
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6University of North Texas-0.15-0.05vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-0.33-0.96vs Predicted
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8Fairfield University0.73-3.86vs Predicted
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9University of Delaware-0.81-1.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.2Northeastern University1.5921.1%1st Place
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2.44University of Texas1.6533.8%1st Place
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5.59Columbia University-0.135.8%1st Place
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4.26University of New Hampshire0.6812.3%1st Place
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6.22Bates College-0.333.1%1st Place
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5.95University of North Texas-0.155.4%1st Place
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6.04University of California at San Diego-0.334.5%1st Place
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4.14Fairfield University0.7311.8%1st Place
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7.17University of Delaware-0.812.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrian Winkelman | 21.1% | 20.8% | 17.8% | 16.4% | 12.3% | 6.8% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Ethan Froelich | 33.8% | 26.4% | 18.1% | 11.2% | 6.4% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Chase O'Malley | 5.8% | 6.2% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 13.8% | 15.3% | 15.2% | 13.8% | 10.7% |
| Grace Cannon | 12.3% | 13.0% | 14.3% | 15.5% | 14.2% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 6.6% | 1.5% |
| Harry Stevenson | 3.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 14.3% | 16.1% | 18.8% | 17.5% |
| Taylor Snyder | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 13.2% | 16.1% | 17.5% | 14.8% |
| Sebastien Franck | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 11.3% | 14.6% | 16.6% | 17.5% | 15.0% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 11.8% | 14.2% | 15.4% | 15.9% | 14.8% | 12.4% | 9.2% | 4.7% | 1.5% |
| Pearce Bragaw | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 12.2% | 19.6% | 38.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.