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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University1.16+2.25vs Predicted
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2Ohio State University0.62+2.06vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan0.21+1.75vs Predicted
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4Purdue University1.14-0.60vs Predicted
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5Western Michigan University0.78-1.05vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan1.85-3.63vs Predicted
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7Hope College-1.15-0.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.25Northwestern University1.160.2%1st Place
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4.06Ohio State University0.620.1%1st Place
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4.75University of Michigan0.210.1%1st Place
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3.4Purdue University1.140.2%1st Place
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3.95Western Michigan University0.780.1%1st Place
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2.37University of Michigan1.850.4%1st Place
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6.22Hope College-1.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Travis Cottle | 18.8% | 20.0% | 19.6% | 15.5% | 14.1% | 9.1% | 2.9% |
| Corinne Sackett | 10.0% | 12.6% | 15.2% | 16.2% | 21.2% | 18.7% | 6.1% |
| Karinne Smolenyak | 7.1% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 14.4% | 18.6% | 29.0% | 14.4% |
| Grant Pollock | 16.5% | 18.9% | 16.6% | 20.0% | 14.5% | 11.1% | 2.4% |
| Michael Niacaris | 11.1% | 12.4% | 17.5% | 17.7% | 18.3% | 16.7% | 6.3% |
| Thomas Etheridge | 35.1% | 26.8% | 17.1% | 11.9% | 6.2% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Russell Fyfe | 1.4% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 13.0% | 67.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.