← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Purdue University1.14+2.26vs Predicted
-
2Northwestern University1.16+1.27vs Predicted
-
3Ohio State University0.62+1.16vs Predicted
-
4University of Michigan1.85-1.63vs Predicted
-
5Western Michigan University0.78-1.03vs Predicted
-
6University of Michigan0.21-1.24vs Predicted
-
7Hope College-1.15-0.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.26Purdue University1.140.2%1st Place
-
3.27Northwestern University1.160.2%1st Place
-
4.16Ohio State University0.620.1%1st Place
-
2.37University of Michigan1.850.4%1st Place
-
3.97Western Michigan University0.780.1%1st Place
-
4.76University of Michigan0.210.1%1st Place
-
6.21Hope College-1.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Pollock | 19.3% | 18.8% | 19.0% | 17.8% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 2.7% |
| Travis Cottle | 16.5% | 22.0% | 18.0% | 18.5% | 13.5% | 9.6% | 1.9% |
| Corinne Sackett | 10.2% | 10.3% | 15.0% | 16.8% | 21.0% | 18.8% | 7.9% |
| Thomas Etheridge | 36.2% | 24.3% | 17.9% | 12.4% | 6.8% | 2.3% | 0.1% |
| Michael Niacaris | 9.6% | 14.1% | 16.4% | 17.8% | 19.5% | 16.8% | 5.8% |
| Karinne Smolenyak | 6.2% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 19.5% | 28.4% | 14.8% |
| Russell Fyfe | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 7.4% | 14.0% | 66.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.