← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of New Hampshire0.68+3.25vs Predicted
-
2Fairfield University0.73+2.19vs Predicted
-
3Northeastern University1.59+0.18vs Predicted
-
4Bates College-0.33+2.23vs Predicted
-
5University of Texas1.65-2.56vs Predicted
-
6Columbia University-0.13-0.41vs Predicted
-
7University of North Texas-0.15-1.08vs Predicted
-
8University of Delaware-0.81-0.81vs Predicted
-
9University of California at San Diego-0.33-2.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.25University of New Hampshire0.6812.3%1st Place
-
4.19Fairfield University0.7310.9%1st Place
-
3.18Northeastern University1.5921.4%1st Place
-
6.23Bates College-0.333.8%1st Place
-
2.44University of Texas1.6533.6%1st Place
-
5.59Columbia University-0.135.9%1st Place
-
5.92University of North Texas-0.155.2%1st Place
-
7.19University of Delaware-0.812.6%1st Place
-
6.01University of California at San Diego-0.334.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Cannon | 12.3% | 14.0% | 13.6% | 15.2% | 13.8% | 13.5% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 1.9% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 10.9% | 14.1% | 15.6% | 16.0% | 15.8% | 12.1% | 9.2% | 4.0% | 2.2% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 21.4% | 19.9% | 19.9% | 16.1% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Harry Stevenson | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 13.0% | 16.2% | 20.1% | 17.1% |
| Ethan Froelich | 33.6% | 27.3% | 17.5% | 11.2% | 6.6% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Chase O'Malley | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 13.8% | 15.4% | 15.7% | 14.5% | 9.8% |
| Taylor Snyder | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 12.9% | 17.2% | 17.1% | 13.7% |
| Pearce Bragaw | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 18.4% | 41.0% |
| Sebastien Franck | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 14.6% | 16.6% | 17.8% | 14.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.