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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Texas1.65+1.43vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.59+1.20vs Predicted
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3Fairfield University0.73+1.17vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire0.68+0.26vs Predicted
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5University of North Texas-0.15+0.90vs Predicted
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6University of Delaware-0.81+1.19vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-0.33-0.92vs Predicted
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8Bates College-0.33-1.91vs Predicted
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9Columbia University-0.13-3.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.43University of Texas1.6534.9%1st Place
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3.2Northeastern University1.5920.7%1st Place
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4.17Fairfield University0.7312.0%1st Place
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4.26University of New Hampshire0.6810.0%1st Place
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5.9University of North Texas-0.155.1%1st Place
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7.19University of Delaware-0.812.1%1st Place
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6.08University of California at San Diego-0.334.2%1st Place
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6.09Bates College-0.335.0%1st Place
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5.69Columbia University-0.135.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Froelich | 34.9% | 24.8% | 19.2% | 10.5% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 20.7% | 21.0% | 17.9% | 17.2% | 10.9% | 7.5% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 12.0% | 12.6% | 15.5% | 16.3% | 15.5% | 13.5% | 8.6% | 4.8% | 1.4% |
| Grace Cannon | 10.0% | 14.3% | 15.2% | 15.7% | 15.6% | 12.9% | 9.2% | 5.0% | 2.1% |
| Taylor Snyder | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 14.2% | 17.2% | 16.4% | 13.7% |
| Pearce Bragaw | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 19.2% | 39.6% |
| Sebastien Franck | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 11.4% | 13.3% | 16.4% | 18.6% | 15.4% |
| Harry Stevenson | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 16.0% | 19.2% | 16.5% |
| Chase O'Malley | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 12.8% | 14.7% | 16.2% | 15.8% | 10.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.