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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan1.85+1.39vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University1.16+1.33vs Predicted
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3Western Michigan University0.78+0.96vs Predicted
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4Purdue University1.14-0.60vs Predicted
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5Hope College-0.71+1.05vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan0.21-1.17vs Predicted
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7Ohio State University0.62-2.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.39University of Michigan1.850.4%1st Place
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3.33Northwestern University1.160.2%1st Place
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3.96Western Michigan University0.780.1%1st Place
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3.4Purdue University1.140.2%1st Place
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6.05Hope College-0.710.0%1st Place
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4.83University of Michigan0.210.1%1st Place
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4.04Ohio State University0.620.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Etheridge | 36.5% | 24.9% | 15.9% | 12.4% | 6.8% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Travis Cottle | 15.2% | 21.1% | 20.5% | 16.6% | 14.6% | 9.0% | 3.0% |
| Michael Niacaris | 11.2% | 13.7% | 16.0% | 17.8% | 17.2% | 16.6% | 7.5% |
| Grant Pollock | 17.1% | 17.5% | 19.4% | 17.2% | 15.3% | 10.6% | 2.9% |
| Lauren Aprill | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 16.2% | 60.0% |
| Karinne Smolenyak | 6.3% | 7.0% | 10.9% | 13.0% | 17.5% | 26.4% | 18.9% |
| Corinne Sackett | 11.6% | 13.0% | 13.0% | 16.9% | 20.1% | 18.3% | 7.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.