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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Texas1.65+1.43vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.59+1.25vs Predicted
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3Fairfield University0.73+1.10vs Predicted
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4University of North Texas-0.15+1.93vs Predicted
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5Bates College-0.33+1.22vs Predicted
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6Columbia University-0.13-0.33vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire0.68-2.77vs Predicted
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8University of Delaware-0.81-0.85vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-0.33-3.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.43University of Texas1.6533.0%1st Place
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3.25Northeastern University1.5920.0%1st Place
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4.1Fairfield University0.7312.8%1st Place
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5.93University of North Texas-0.154.8%1st Place
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6.22Bates College-0.334.2%1st Place
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5.67Columbia University-0.135.9%1st Place
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4.23University of New Hampshire0.6812.0%1st Place
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7.15University of Delaware-0.811.8%1st Place
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6.0University of California at San Diego-0.335.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Froelich | 33.0% | 27.8% | 18.1% | 11.5% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 20.0% | 19.9% | 19.7% | 15.4% | 12.5% | 7.6% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 12.8% | 14.1% | 15.0% | 16.1% | 14.4% | 13.0% | 9.0% | 4.0% | 1.7% |
| Taylor Snyder | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 12.4% | 13.8% | 15.5% | 16.4% | 14.8% |
| Harry Stevenson | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 16.2% | 19.0% | 18.1% |
| Chase O'Malley | 5.9% | 5.2% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 15.2% | 14.0% | 16.5% | 10.9% |
| Grace Cannon | 12.0% | 13.2% | 14.7% | 14.8% | 15.2% | 13.5% | 10.1% | 4.9% | 1.7% |
| Pearce Bragaw | 1.8% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 14.1% | 17.8% | 39.0% |
| Sebastien Franck | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 13.5% | 16.8% | 19.4% | 13.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.