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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan1.85+1.37vs Predicted
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2Ohio State University0.62+2.16vs Predicted
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3Western Michigan University0.78+0.96vs Predicted
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4Purdue University1.14-0.61vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan0.21-0.16vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University1.16-2.62vs Predicted
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7Hope College-0.71-1.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.37University of Michigan1.850.4%1st Place
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4.16Ohio State University0.620.1%1st Place
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3.96Western Michigan University0.780.1%1st Place
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3.39Purdue University1.140.2%1st Place
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4.84University of Michigan0.210.1%1st Place
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3.38Northwestern University1.160.2%1st Place
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5.9Hope College-0.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Etheridge | 36.3% | 26.0% | 16.2% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Corinne Sackett | 9.8% | 12.7% | 14.2% | 15.0% | 20.6% | 18.5% | 9.2% |
| Michael Niacaris | 10.7% | 13.5% | 16.6% | 17.8% | 18.0% | 16.4% | 7.0% |
| Grant Pollock | 17.3% | 18.4% | 17.4% | 18.6% | 14.7% | 10.5% | 3.1% |
| Karinne Smolenyak | 5.7% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 12.9% | 17.6% | 26.5% | 18.9% |
| Travis Cottle | 17.0% | 17.8% | 20.1% | 18.3% | 13.2% | 9.7% | 3.9% |
| Lauren Aprill | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 16.8% | 57.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.