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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Columbia University-0.13+4.68vs Predicted
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2University of New Hampshire0.68+2.29vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.59+0.18vs Predicted
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4University of Texas1.65-1.54vs Predicted
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5Fairfield University0.73-0.86vs Predicted
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6Bates College-0.33+0.26vs Predicted
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7University of Delaware-0.81+0.09vs Predicted
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8University of North Texas-0.15-2.14vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-0.33-2.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.68Columbia University-0.134.7%1st Place
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4.29University of New Hampshire0.6811.6%1st Place
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3.18Northeastern University1.5920.2%1st Place
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2.46University of Texas1.6535.0%1st Place
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4.14Fairfield University0.7311.3%1st Place
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6.26Bates College-0.334.2%1st Place
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7.09University of Delaware-0.812.9%1st Place
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5.86University of North Texas-0.155.3%1st Place
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6.04University of California at San Diego-0.334.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase O'Malley | 4.7% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 14.3% | 17.0% | 14.9% | 10.1% |
| Grace Cannon | 11.6% | 12.4% | 15.0% | 16.4% | 14.6% | 12.0% | 9.5% | 6.2% | 2.2% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 20.2% | 21.6% | 20.2% | 14.5% | 11.2% | 7.4% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Ethan Froelich | 35.0% | 24.8% | 17.8% | 10.5% | 7.3% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 11.3% | 14.8% | 14.9% | 15.9% | 15.4% | 13.0% | 8.3% | 4.8% | 1.5% |
| Harry Stevenson | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 13.6% | 14.8% | 20.0% | 18.4% |
| Pearce Bragaw | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 12.9% | 18.1% | 38.4% |
| Taylor Snyder | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 13.7% | 16.2% | 17.1% | 13.5% |
| Sebastien Franck | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 14.3% | 16.4% | 17.5% | 15.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.