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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan State University1.36+1.80vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University1.16+1.08vs Predicted
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3Purdue University1.14+0.18vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan0.51+0.14vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan0.21-0.36vs Predicted
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6Ohio State University0.62-2.01vs Predicted
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7Hope College-1.15-0.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.8Michigan State University1.360.3%1st Place
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3.08Northwestern University1.160.2%1st Place
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3.18Purdue University1.140.2%1st Place
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4.14University of Michigan0.510.1%1st Place
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4.64University of Michigan0.210.1%1st Place
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3.99Ohio State University0.620.1%1st Place
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6.17Hope College-1.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bill Weiland | 27.0% | 23.5% | 17.6% | 14.4% | 10.4% | 6.0% | 1.1% |
| Travis Cottle | 21.4% | 19.5% | 20.8% | 17.0% | 12.4% | 7.1% | 1.8% |
| Grant Pollock | 19.8% | 20.5% | 19.6% | 15.6% | 13.5% | 8.5% | 2.5% |
| Ryan Davidson | 11.0% | 12.0% | 13.1% | 15.8% | 19.8% | 20.3% | 8.0% |
| Karinne Smolenyak | 6.9% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 13.7% | 18.9% | 26.7% | 13.8% |
| Corinne Sackett | 11.8% | 12.7% | 14.5% | 18.2% | 18.0% | 17.9% | 6.9% |
| Russell Fyfe | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 13.5% | 65.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.