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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.59+2.20vs Predicted
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2University of Texas1.65+0.43vs Predicted
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3Fairfield University0.73+1.04vs Predicted
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4Columbia University-0.13+1.70vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire0.68-0.74vs Predicted
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6Bates College-0.33+0.26vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-0.33-0.98vs Predicted
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8University of North Texas-0.15-2.09vs Predicted
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9University of Delaware-0.81-1.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.2Northeastern University1.5919.4%1st Place
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2.43University of Texas1.6533.5%1st Place
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4.04Fairfield University0.7313.7%1st Place
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5.7Columbia University-0.134.9%1st Place
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4.26University of New Hampshire0.6812.5%1st Place
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6.26Bates College-0.334.2%1st Place
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6.02University of California at San Diego-0.334.8%1st Place
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5.91University of North Texas-0.155.2%1st Place
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7.18University of Delaware-0.811.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrian Winkelman | 19.4% | 22.7% | 18.6% | 15.0% | 12.9% | 7.0% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Ethan Froelich | 33.5% | 27.6% | 17.7% | 10.3% | 6.9% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 13.7% | 13.4% | 17.0% | 16.1% | 13.9% | 11.9% | 7.8% | 4.4% | 2.0% |
| Chase O'Malley | 4.9% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 12.7% | 14.5% | 16.8% | 14.3% | 11.2% |
| Grace Cannon | 12.5% | 11.3% | 14.2% | 16.4% | 15.7% | 13.6% | 9.2% | 5.3% | 1.7% |
| Harry Stevenson | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 15.7% | 20.2% | 18.2% |
| Sebastien Franck | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 14.0% | 17.1% | 17.2% | 15.4% |
| Taylor Snyder | 5.2% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 15.0% | 15.3% | 17.3% | 13.6% |
| Pearce Bragaw | 1.8% | 1.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 14.3% | 19.7% | 37.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.