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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan State University1.36+1.80vs Predicted
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2Purdue University1.14+1.12vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University1.16+0.15vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan0.21+0.61vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan0.51-0.83vs Predicted
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6Ohio State University0.62-2.02vs Predicted
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7Hope College-1.15-0.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.8Michigan State University1.360.3%1st Place
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3.12Purdue University1.140.2%1st Place
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3.15Northwestern University1.160.2%1st Place
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4.61University of Michigan0.210.1%1st Place
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4.17University of Michigan0.510.1%1st Place
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3.98Ohio State University0.620.1%1st Place
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6.18Hope College-1.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bill Weiland | 27.3% | 23.3% | 18.1% | 13.5% | 10.3% | 6.2% | 1.3% |
| Grant Pollock | 21.0% | 18.9% | 20.8% | 17.8% | 11.5% | 7.9% | 2.1% |
| Travis Cottle | 21.0% | 20.6% | 18.2% | 16.7% | 12.8% | 7.9% | 2.8% |
| Karinne Smolenyak | 7.5% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 20.1% | 27.2% | 12.9% |
| Ryan Davidson | 9.1% | 13.0% | 13.7% | 16.8% | 18.8% | 20.8% | 7.8% |
| Corinne Sackett | 11.9% | 12.8% | 14.6% | 17.8% | 18.7% | 17.6% | 6.6% |
| Russell Fyfe | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 12.4% | 66.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.