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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.05+5.44vs Predicted
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2Cornell University1.79+5.00vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.57+1.77vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.54+4.82vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.20+0.86vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.64+5.26vs Predicted
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7Hampton University0.72+5.35vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.16-1.89vs Predicted
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9Columbia University0.43+3.65vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.13-3.14vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University1.26-2.54vs Predicted
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12Penn State University1.13-1.90vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University0.73-2.39vs Predicted
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14Virginia Tech-0.20-0.16vs Predicted
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15Webb Institute1.73-8.79vs Predicted
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16George Washington University0.93-5.45vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College-0.13-2.94vs Predicted
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18Washington College-0.55-2.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.44St. Mary's College of Maryland2.058.8%1st Place
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7.0Cornell University1.797.6%1st Place
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4.77U. S. Naval Academy2.5713.8%1st Place
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8.82Fordham University1.544.8%1st Place
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5.86Georgetown University2.2011.2%1st Place
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11.26U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.642.5%1st Place
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12.35Hampton University0.722.2%1st Place
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6.11University of Pennsylvania2.1610.2%1st Place
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12.65Columbia University0.431.6%1st Place
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6.86Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.138.0%1st Place
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8.46Old Dominion University1.265.7%1st Place
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10.1Penn State University1.133.5%1st Place
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10.61Christopher Newport University0.733.9%1st Place
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13.84Virginia Tech-0.200.9%1st Place
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6.21Webb Institute1.7310.3%1st Place
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10.55George Washington University0.933.0%1st Place
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14.06SUNY Maritime College-0.131.4%1st Place
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15.05Washington College-0.550.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Anderson | 8.8% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Sophia Devling | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Henry Allgeier | 13.8% | 15.0% | 14.0% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Thress | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Diego Escobar | 11.2% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Calvin Marsh | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 3.4% |
| Stefano Palamara | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 7.8% |
| Jackson McAliley | 10.2% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eva DeCastro | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 7.3% |
| JJ Klempen | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Blake Goodwin | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Barrett Lhamon | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 2.9% | 1.6% |
| Joshua Bendura | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 2.7% |
| Daniel Hale | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 14.0% | 16.7% | 18.6% |
| Rayne Duff | 10.3% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Avery Canavan | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 2.6% |
| Luke Barker | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 12.4% | 17.8% | 20.1% |
| Austin Latimer | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 17.2% | 35.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.