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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College4.15+5.89vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy4.34+4.21vs Predicted
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3Washington College3.19+7.36vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.89+7.06vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University3.76+2.94vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University5.19-2.32vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland4.83-2.46vs Predicted
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8Fordham University3.53+0.78vs Predicted
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9University of Virginia3.54-0.17vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania3.63-1.29vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.49-5.29vs Predicted
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12Colgate University2.53+0.71vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.42-3.82vs Predicted
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14Ocean County College2.88-3.07vs Predicted
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15Columbia University1.99-0.84vs Predicted
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16George Washington University2.84-4.50vs Predicted
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17Princeton University1.50-1.52vs Predicted
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18Hampton University1.86-3.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.89SUNY Maritime College4.150.1%1st Place
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6.21U. S. Naval Academy4.340.1%1st Place
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10.36Washington College3.190.0%1st Place
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11.06Cornell University2.890.0%1st Place
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7.94Old Dominion University3.760.1%1st Place
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3.68Georgetown University5.190.2%1st Place
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4.54St. Mary's College of Maryland4.830.2%1st Place
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8.78Fordham University3.530.0%1st Place
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8.83University of Virginia3.540.0%1st Place
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8.71University of Pennsylvania3.630.0%1st Place
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5.71Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.490.1%1st Place
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12.71Colgate University2.530.0%1st Place
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9.18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.420.0%1st Place
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10.93Ocean County College2.880.0%1st Place
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14.16Columbia University1.990.0%1st Place
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11.5George Washington University2.840.0%1st Place
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15.48Princeton University1.500.0%1st Place
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14.35Hampton University1.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Murray | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Robert Vann | 7.3% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Conner Blouin | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 1.6% |
| Vincent Andrews | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 3.4% |
| Stephanie Roble | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Charlie Buckingham | 21.2% | 18.4% | 17.4% | 12.1% | 9.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Menninger | 15.6% | 15.3% | 14.5% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carl Shorett | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Gordon Wolcott | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Halsey Richartz | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Samuel Blouin | 10.7% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Scott Layton | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 13.3% | 13.6% | 7.8% |
| Gary Herring | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Tyler Kennedy | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 3.1% |
| John Croll | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 13.3% | 18.5% | 18.7% |
| William Ricketson | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 3.1% |
| Gene Merewether | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 11.5% | 17.7% | 39.9% |
| Shane Horsford | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 11.1% | 13.7% | 19.5% | 20.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.