← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Michigan1.85+1.62vs Predicted
-
2Michigan State University1.36+1.47vs Predicted
-
3Purdue University1.14+0.87vs Predicted
-
4Northwestern University1.16-0.15vs Predicted
-
5Ohio State University0.62-0.24vs Predicted
-
6University of Michigan0.21-0.58vs Predicted
-
7Hope College-0.71-0.16vs Predicted
-
8Western Michigan University0.33-2.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.62University of Michigan1.850.3%1st Place
-
3.47Michigan State University1.360.2%1st Place
-
3.87Purdue University1.140.1%1st Place
-
3.85Northwestern University1.160.1%1st Place
-
4.76Ohio State University0.620.1%1st Place
-
5.42University of Michigan0.210.1%1st Place
-
6.84Hope College-0.710.0%1st Place
-
5.16Western Michigan University0.330.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Etheridge | 30.8% | 26.0% | 17.7% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Bill Weiland | 17.6% | 19.6% | 16.8% | 16.0% | 12.5% | 10.3% | 6.4% | 0.8% |
| Grant Pollock | 14.3% | 15.4% | 16.2% | 15.5% | 14.4% | 13.1% | 8.5% | 2.6% |
| Travis Cottle | 14.6% | 15.3% | 15.4% | 15.9% | 16.6% | 11.4% | 7.9% | 2.9% |
| Corinne Sackett | 7.6% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 14.2% | 14.9% | 17.9% | 17.3% | 6.8% |
| Karinne Smolenyak | 6.1% | 4.9% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 16.3% | 21.6% | 17.5% |
| Lauren Aprill | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 17.9% | 56.3% |
| Vytenis Karaitis | 6.3% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 12.3% | 14.8% | 18.6% | 18.9% | 12.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.