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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Columbia University-0.13+4.55vs Predicted
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2Fairfield University0.73+2.13vs Predicted
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3University of Texas1.65-0.61vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire0.68+0.34vs Predicted
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5University of Delaware-0.81+2.14vs Predicted
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6University of North Texas-0.15-0.05vs Predicted
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7Bates College-0.33-0.75vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.59-4.73vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-0.33-3.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.55Columbia University-0.135.9%1st Place
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4.13Fairfield University0.7311.9%1st Place
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2.39University of Texas1.6535.8%1st Place
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4.34University of New Hampshire0.6811.2%1st Place
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7.14University of Delaware-0.812.7%1st Place
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5.95University of North Texas-0.155.1%1st Place
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6.25Bates College-0.334.0%1st Place
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3.27Northeastern University1.5918.5%1st Place
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5.99University of California at San Diego-0.335.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase O'Malley | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 14.8% | 16.6% | 14.2% | 9.4% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 11.9% | 14.1% | 16.0% | 15.4% | 14.9% | 12.4% | 8.9% | 4.9% | 1.4% |
| Ethan Froelich | 35.8% | 24.5% | 19.1% | 11.2% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Grace Cannon | 11.2% | 12.8% | 14.0% | 16.1% | 14.1% | 13.1% | 10.4% | 5.8% | 2.5% |
| Pearce Bragaw | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 13.0% | 19.4% | 38.4% |
| Taylor Snyder | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 12.4% | 14.3% | 15.2% | 17.4% | 14.3% |
| Harry Stevenson | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 14.0% | 15.8% | 18.7% | 18.6% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 18.5% | 21.2% | 19.8% | 15.9% | 12.4% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Sebastien Franck | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 13.1% | 16.0% | 17.5% | 15.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.