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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Purdue University1.14+2.74vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan1.85+0.69vs Predicted
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3Michigan State University1.36+0.46vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University1.16-0.19vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan0.21+0.50vs Predicted
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6Western Michigan University0.33-0.77vs Predicted
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7Ohio State University0.62-2.20vs Predicted
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8Hope College-0.71-1.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.74Purdue University1.140.2%1st Place
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2.69University of Michigan1.850.3%1st Place
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3.46Michigan State University1.360.2%1st Place
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3.81Northwestern University1.160.1%1st Place
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5.5University of Michigan0.210.1%1st Place
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5.23Western Michigan University0.330.1%1st Place
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4.8Ohio State University0.620.1%1st Place
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6.76Hope College-0.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Pollock | 15.2% | 16.5% | 16.6% | 16.5% | 13.9% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 2.3% |
| Thomas Etheridge | 29.0% | 24.2% | 19.6% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Bill Weiland | 18.7% | 17.4% | 17.5% | 16.5% | 13.1% | 10.5% | 4.5% | 1.8% |
| Travis Cottle | 14.7% | 16.4% | 15.5% | 15.6% | 15.9% | 11.5% | 6.9% | 3.5% |
| Karinne Smolenyak | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 17.9% | 24.8% | 15.6% |
| Vytenis Karaitis | 7.0% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 13.1% | 14.4% | 15.5% | 19.4% | 15.4% |
| Corinne Sackett | 8.0% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 15.3% | 18.3% | 16.0% | 8.9% |
| Lauren Aprill | 1.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 11.5% | 18.5% | 52.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.