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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of New Hampshire0.68+3.19vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.59+1.17vs Predicted
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3Fairfield University0.73+1.19vs Predicted
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4Bates College-0.33+2.19vs Predicted
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5University of Texas1.65-2.53vs Predicted
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6University of North Texas-0.15+0.05vs Predicted
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7University of Delaware-0.81+0.14vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-0.33-2.02vs Predicted
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9Columbia University-0.13-3.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.19University of New Hampshire0.6812.1%1st Place
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3.17Northeastern University1.5921.8%1st Place
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4.19Fairfield University0.7310.7%1st Place
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6.19Bates College-0.334.9%1st Place
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2.47University of Texas1.6533.1%1st Place
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6.05University of North Texas-0.154.0%1st Place
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7.14University of Delaware-0.812.6%1st Place
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5.98University of California at San Diego-0.334.6%1st Place
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5.63Columbia University-0.136.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Cannon | 12.1% | 13.2% | 14.8% | 17.3% | 14.4% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 5.5% | 1.9% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 21.8% | 21.0% | 18.1% | 15.6% | 11.3% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 10.7% | 14.6% | 15.6% | 14.7% | 16.3% | 13.2% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 1.7% |
| Harry Stevenson | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 16.9% | 18.1% | 18.1% |
| Ethan Froelich | 33.1% | 26.1% | 19.2% | 10.5% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Snyder | 4.0% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 11.9% | 14.4% | 15.6% | 18.8% | 14.3% |
| Pearce Bragaw | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 13.1% | 18.1% | 39.2% |
| Sebastien Franck | 4.6% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 14.3% | 17.0% | 17.8% | 13.5% |
| Chase O'Malley | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 15.7% | 14.8% | 15.3% | 11.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.