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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University0.97+1.74vs Predicted
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2Tufts University0.80+0.98vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island0.68+0.21vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.09+0.65vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University-0.70-0.15vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University0.46-2.14vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire-0.99-1.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.74Boston University0.9725.9%1st Place
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2.98Tufts University0.8022.2%1st Place
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3.21University of Rhode Island0.6819.8%1st Place
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4.65Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.098.2%1st Place
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4.85Salve Regina University-0.706.6%1st Place
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3.86Northeastern University0.4613.8%1st Place
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5.71University of New Hampshire-0.993.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elliott Mendenhall | 25.9% | 23.7% | 21.3% | 14.4% | 9.2% | 4.3% | 1.1% |
| Blake Vogel | 22.2% | 22.5% | 18.4% | 18.4% | 10.4% | 5.9% | 2.1% |
| Thomas Johnson | 19.8% | 19.4% | 19.2% | 17.5% | 12.7% | 8.8% | 2.5% |
| John Van Zanten | 8.2% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 17.1% | 22.1% | 19.5% |
| Sean Crandall | 6.6% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 13.0% | 18.6% | 25.2% | 19.9% |
| Aidan Boni | 13.8% | 12.7% | 15.4% | 17.3% | 19.7% | 14.5% | 6.6% |
| Henry Poynter | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 12.3% | 19.2% | 48.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.