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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan1.85+1.45vs Predicted
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2Purdue University1.14+1.51vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan0.21+1.91vs Predicted
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4Michigan State University1.36-0.77vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University1.16-1.48vs Predicted
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6Ohio State University0.62-1.70vs Predicted
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7Hope College-1.15-0.35vs Predicted
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8Western Michigan University-2.11-0.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.45University of Michigan1.850.3%1st Place
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3.51Purdue University1.140.2%1st Place
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4.91University of Michigan0.210.1%1st Place
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3.23Michigan State University1.360.2%1st Place
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3.52Northwestern University1.160.1%1st Place
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4.3Ohio State University0.620.1%1st Place
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6.65Hope College-1.150.0%1st Place
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7.43Western Michigan University-2.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Etheridge | 33.8% | 25.1% | 18.4% | 11.5% | 8.1% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Grant Pollock | 15.2% | 16.3% | 18.4% | 20.0% | 16.3% | 10.5% | 3.1% | 0.2% |
| Karinne Smolenyak | 5.9% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 18.0% | 30.1% | 15.1% | 2.8% |
| Bill Weiland | 18.2% | 20.2% | 18.0% | 20.2% | 13.3% | 7.7% | 2.3% | 0.1% |
| Travis Cottle | 14.9% | 17.0% | 19.5% | 16.9% | 16.5% | 12.6% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Corinne Sackett | 9.6% | 9.7% | 14.3% | 15.6% | 19.8% | 21.4% | 8.2% | 1.4% |
| Russell Fyfe | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 10.5% | 46.3% | 27.8% |
| Robert O'Brien | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 5.1% | 21.8% | 67.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.