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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University0.80+2.02vs Predicted
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2Boston University0.97+0.70vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University-0.70+1.79vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.09+0.72vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire-0.99+0.66vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University0.46-2.15vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island0.68-3.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.02Tufts University0.8022.8%1st Place
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2.7Boston University0.9728.0%1st Place
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4.79Salve Regina University-0.706.6%1st Place
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4.72Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.097.4%1st Place
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5.66University of New Hampshire-0.993.8%1st Place
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3.85Northeastern University0.4612.5%1st Place
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3.26University of Rhode Island0.6818.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Vogel | 22.8% | 21.8% | 18.8% | 14.9% | 12.9% | 7.0% | 1.8% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 28.0% | 22.8% | 20.0% | 15.9% | 8.3% | 4.2% | 0.9% |
| Sean Crandall | 6.6% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 13.4% | 19.1% | 23.2% | 20.0% |
| John Van Zanten | 7.4% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 13.4% | 16.5% | 24.1% | 19.1% |
| Henry Poynter | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 12.6% | 17.6% | 48.2% |
| Aidan Boni | 12.5% | 14.1% | 17.2% | 17.3% | 16.9% | 15.2% | 6.8% |
| Thomas Johnson | 18.9% | 20.2% | 17.8% | 17.4% | 13.8% | 8.6% | 3.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.