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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Penn State University1.35+1.49vs Predicted
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2Colgate University0.49+1.51vs Predicted
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3Cornell University1.27-0.42vs Predicted
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4Princeton University0.09-0.09vs Predicted
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5University of Buffalo1.34-2.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.49Penn State University1.350.3%1st Place
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3.51Colgate University0.490.1%1st Place
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2.58Cornell University1.270.3%1st Place
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3.91Princeton University0.090.1%1st Place
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2.51University of Buffalo1.340.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Shanahan | 28.8% | 25.4% | 22.5% | 14.7% | 8.6% |
| Morgan Beals | 9.7% | 14.5% | 20.0% | 26.6% | 29.2% |
| Gregory Reppucci | 26.4% | 24.5% | 23.2% | 16.6% | 9.3% |
| Sarah Gross | 6.9% | 9.5% | 14.6% | 23.3% | 45.7% |
| Luke Miller | 28.2% | 26.1% | 19.7% | 18.8% | 7.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.