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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University0.80+2.02vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island0.68+1.20vs Predicted
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3Boston University0.97-0.26vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University0.46-0.09vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University-0.70-0.28vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire-0.99-0.28vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.09-2.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.02Tufts University0.8021.9%1st Place
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3.2University of Rhode Island0.6819.2%1st Place
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2.74Boston University0.9727.5%1st Place
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3.91Northeastern University0.4612.1%1st Place
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4.72Salve Regina University-0.708.2%1st Place
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5.72University of New Hampshire-0.993.8%1st Place
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4.69Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.097.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Vogel | 21.9% | 21.6% | 19.2% | 17.6% | 11.1% | 6.9% | 1.8% |
| Thomas Johnson | 19.2% | 21.1% | 18.1% | 17.5% | 13.0% | 8.1% | 3.1% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 27.5% | 22.7% | 18.9% | 16.7% | 8.7% | 4.8% | 0.9% |
| Aidan Boni | 12.1% | 13.2% | 17.2% | 16.0% | 19.4% | 15.2% | 7.0% |
| Sean Crandall | 8.2% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 17.8% | 23.0% | 20.2% |
| Henry Poynter | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 11.2% | 19.4% | 48.7% |
| John Van Zanten | 7.3% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 12.7% | 18.9% | 22.7% | 18.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.