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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University0.80+2.04vs Predicted
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2Boston University0.97+0.74vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University0.46+0.83vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island0.68-0.80vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University-0.70-0.27vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.09-1.31vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire-0.99-1.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.04Tufts University0.8021.8%1st Place
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2.74Boston University0.9726.9%1st Place
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3.83Northeastern University0.4614.4%1st Place
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3.2University of Rhode Island0.6819.7%1st Place
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4.73Salve Regina University-0.706.6%1st Place
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4.69Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.097.1%1st Place
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5.76University of New Hampshire-0.993.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Vogel | 21.8% | 22.4% | 18.1% | 17.1% | 11.7% | 6.8% | 2.2% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 26.9% | 23.7% | 19.9% | 14.3% | 9.3% | 4.9% | 1.1% |
| Aidan Boni | 14.4% | 13.1% | 15.8% | 16.9% | 17.1% | 16.6% | 6.2% |
| Thomas Johnson | 19.7% | 19.3% | 20.1% | 16.7% | 13.7% | 8.1% | 2.5% |
| Sean Crandall | 6.6% | 8.3% | 11.6% | 13.2% | 18.9% | 22.2% | 19.2% |
| John Van Zanten | 7.1% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 14.3% | 17.6% | 21.6% | 19.8% |
| Henry Poynter | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 11.7% | 19.9% | 49.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.