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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University1.27+1.58vs Predicted
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2Penn State University1.35+0.48vs Predicted
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3Princeton University0.09+0.93vs Predicted
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4Colgate University0.49-0.52vs Predicted
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5University of Buffalo1.34-2.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.58Cornell University1.270.3%1st Place
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2.48Penn State University1.350.3%1st Place
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3.93Princeton University0.090.1%1st Place
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3.48Colgate University0.490.1%1st Place
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2.51University of Buffalo1.340.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gregory Reppucci | 26.2% | 25.1% | 22.3% | 16.8% | 9.6% |
| John Shanahan | 27.8% | 26.5% | 22.6% | 15.7% | 7.4% |
| Sarah Gross | 7.6% | 9.3% | 13.7% | 20.8% | 48.6% |
| Morgan Beals | 11.1% | 13.5% | 18.9% | 29.0% | 27.5% |
| Luke Miller | 27.3% | 25.6% | 22.5% | 17.7% | 6.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.