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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University0.80+2.01vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University0.46+1.83vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire-0.99+2.70vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University-0.70+0.68vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.09-0.26vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island0.68-2.73vs Predicted
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7Boston University0.97-4.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.01Tufts University0.8022.1%1st Place
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3.83Northeastern University0.4612.9%1st Place
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5.7University of New Hampshire-0.993.9%1st Place
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4.68Salve Regina University-0.707.3%1st Place
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4.74Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.097.5%1st Place
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3.27University of Rhode Island0.6818.8%1st Place
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2.76Boston University0.9727.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Vogel | 22.1% | 21.6% | 19.2% | 16.6% | 12.5% | 6.3% | 1.7% |
| Aidan Boni | 12.9% | 14.7% | 16.2% | 16.5% | 18.2% | 14.9% | 6.6% |
| Henry Poynter | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 10.9% | 19.6% | 48.4% |
| Sean Crandall | 7.3% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 17.0% | 21.6% | 20.3% |
| John Van Zanten | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 13.5% | 17.2% | 24.4% | 19.2% |
| Thomas Johnson | 18.8% | 18.9% | 18.6% | 18.1% | 14.2% | 8.5% | 2.9% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 27.5% | 21.1% | 20.8% | 14.9% | 10.1% | 4.7% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.