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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University0.97+1.72vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.09+2.80vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island0.68+0.16vs Predicted
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4Tufts University0.80-0.98vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University0.46-1.15vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire-0.99-0.29vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University-0.70-2.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.72Boston University0.9728.6%1st Place
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4.8Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.096.5%1st Place
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3.16University of Rhode Island0.6818.4%1st Place
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3.02Tufts University0.8022.7%1st Place
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3.85Northeastern University0.4612.8%1st Place
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5.71University of New Hampshire-0.993.5%1st Place
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4.75Salve Regina University-0.707.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elliott Mendenhall | 28.6% | 21.9% | 19.8% | 14.6% | 9.7% | 4.4% | 1.0% |
| John Van Zanten | 6.5% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 14.2% | 18.0% | 23.9% | 19.8% |
| Thomas Johnson | 18.4% | 22.1% | 19.9% | 16.5% | 13.4% | 7.5% | 2.4% |
| Blake Vogel | 22.7% | 21.4% | 19.3% | 16.0% | 11.6% | 7.0% | 2.1% |
| Aidan Boni | 12.8% | 14.1% | 15.8% | 18.6% | 17.5% | 13.5% | 7.5% |
| Henry Poynter | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 12.3% | 20.4% | 47.6% |
| Sean Crandall | 7.4% | 7.3% | 11.1% | 13.8% | 17.5% | 23.2% | 19.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.