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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University0.80+1.99vs Predicted
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2Boston University0.97+0.76vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University0.46+0.84vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University-0.70+0.81vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island0.68-1.78vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.09-1.34vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire-0.99-1.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.99Tufts University0.8023.9%1st Place
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2.76Boston University0.9726.2%1st Place
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3.84Northeastern University0.4613.6%1st Place
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4.81Salve Regina University-0.706.9%1st Place
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3.22University of Rhode Island0.6819.2%1st Place
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4.66Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.096.6%1st Place
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5.72University of New Hampshire-0.993.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Vogel | 23.9% | 20.4% | 19.1% | 16.4% | 11.3% | 7.2% | 1.7% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 26.2% | 24.1% | 19.0% | 15.0% | 9.8% | 4.7% | 1.1% |
| Aidan Boni | 13.6% | 14.1% | 16.7% | 15.6% | 17.9% | 15.3% | 6.9% |
| Sean Crandall | 6.9% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 17.9% | 24.8% | 20.0% |
| Thomas Johnson | 19.2% | 19.6% | 19.1% | 17.4% | 14.1% | 8.0% | 2.7% |
| John Van Zanten | 6.6% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 16.1% | 17.4% | 21.5% | 18.4% |
| Henry Poynter | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 11.4% | 18.5% | 49.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.