← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.13+5.90vs Predicted
-
2Cornell University1.79+5.21vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Naval Academy2.57+1.82vs Predicted
-
4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.05+2.53vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.64+6.31vs Predicted
-
6University of Pennsylvania2.16+0.18vs Predicted
-
7Fordham University1.54+1.71vs Predicted
-
8Georgetown University2.20-1.94vs Predicted
-
9Old Dominion University1.26-0.71vs Predicted
-
10Penn State University1.13+0.40vs Predicted
-
11Hampton University0.72+1.50vs Predicted
-
12Christopher Newport University0.73-1.34vs Predicted
-
13Virginia Tech-0.20+1.07vs Predicted
-
14Webb Institute1.73-7.54vs Predicted
-
15Columbia University0.43-2.54vs Predicted
-
16George Washington University0.93-5.41vs Predicted
-
17Washington College-0.55-1.72vs Predicted
-
18SUNY Maritime College-0.02-5.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.137.7%1st Place
-
7.21Cornell University1.797.6%1st Place
-
4.82U. S. Naval Academy2.5715.8%1st Place
-
6.53St. Mary's College of Maryland2.058.5%1st Place
-
11.31U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.642.9%1st Place
-
6.18University of Pennsylvania2.1610.8%1st Place
-
8.71Fordham University1.544.4%1st Place
-
6.06Georgetown University2.2010.2%1st Place
-
8.29Old Dominion University1.265.9%1st Place
-
10.4Penn State University1.133.7%1st Place
-
12.5Hampton University0.722.1%1st Place
-
10.66Christopher Newport University0.732.9%1st Place
-
14.07Virginia Tech-0.200.9%1st Place
-
6.46Webb Institute1.739.1%1st Place
-
12.46Columbia University0.431.9%1st Place
-
10.59George Washington University0.933.1%1st Place
-
15.28Washington College-0.550.5%1st Place
-
12.6SUNY Maritime College-0.021.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JJ Klempen | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Sophia Devling | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Henry Allgeier | 15.8% | 13.6% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Anderson | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Calvin Marsh | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 4.6% |
| Jackson McAliley | 10.8% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Thress | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Diego Escobar | 10.2% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Blake Goodwin | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% |
| Barrett Lhamon | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 1.7% |
| Stefano Palamara | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 13.3% | 8.1% |
| Joshua Bendura | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 2.4% |
| Daniel Hale | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 16.6% | 22.7% |
| Rayne Duff | 9.1% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eva DeCastro | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 9.0% |
| Avery Canavan | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 2.5% |
| Austin Latimer | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 18.3% | 37.8% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 12.3% | 13.1% | 9.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.