← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Syracuse University0.38+2.09vs Predicted
-
2Colgate University0.82+0.55vs Predicted
-
3Penn State University-0.17+0.73vs Predicted
-
4University of Buffalo0.87-1.52vs Predicted
-
5Cornell University0.31-1.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.09Syracuse University0.380.2%1st Place
-
2.55Colgate University0.820.3%1st Place
-
3.73Penn State University-0.170.1%1st Place
-
2.48University of Buffalo0.870.3%1st Place
-
3.15Cornell University0.310.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Woviotis | 18.0% | 19.1% | 20.3% | 20.9% | 21.7% |
| Caroline Libby | 26.8% | 26.2% | 20.6% | 17.7% | 8.7% |
| Charles Herlihy | 9.6% | 12.6% | 14.4% | 22.0% | 41.4% |
| Andrew Green | 29.0% | 25.0% | 23.4% | 14.5% | 8.1% |
| Max Joh-Carnella | 16.6% | 17.1% | 21.3% | 24.9% | 20.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.