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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Colgate University0.82+1.56vs Predicted
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2Syracuse University0.38+1.08vs Predicted
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3Penn State University-0.17+0.73vs Predicted
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4University of Buffalo0.87-1.54vs Predicted
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5Cornell University0.31-1.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.56Colgate University0.820.3%1st Place
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3.08Syracuse University0.380.2%1st Place
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3.73Penn State University-0.170.1%1st Place
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2.46University of Buffalo0.870.3%1st Place
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3.16Cornell University0.310.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Libby | 26.8% | 25.9% | 22.2% | 14.2% | 10.9% |
| Nicholas Woviotis | 16.1% | 20.6% | 22.0% | 21.5% | 19.8% |
| Charles Herlihy | 10.2% | 11.3% | 14.7% | 22.9% | 40.9% |
| Andrew Green | 29.9% | 25.5% | 21.1% | 15.2% | 8.3% |
| Max Joh-Carnella | 17.0% | 16.7% | 20.0% | 26.2% | 20.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.