← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65+5.14vs Predicted
-
2Webb Institute1.73+5.66vs Predicted
-
3Old Dominion University1.81+6.92vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Naval Academy2.25+3.56vs Predicted
-
5Cornell University2.38+1.61vs Predicted
-
6SUNY Maritime College2.51+0.75vs Predicted
-
7University of Pennsylvania2.42+0.23vs Predicted
-
8Georgetown University2.41-0.61vs Predicted
-
9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16-1.04vs Predicted
-
10Princeton University1.87+1.28vs Predicted
-
11Fordham University1.89-0.07vs Predicted
-
12Drexel University1.12-0.54vs Predicted
-
13George Washington University1.82-3.97vs Predicted
-
14Washington College1.66-2.79vs Predicted
-
15Fordham University1.53-4.81vs Predicted
-
16Christopher Newport University1.21-3.65vs Predicted
-
17Hampton University1.47-4.96vs Predicted
-
18University of Virginia-0.03-2.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.6511.4%1st Place
-
7.66Webb Institute1.737.1%1st Place
-
9.92Old Dominion University1.814.8%1st Place
-
7.56U. S. Naval Academy2.257.1%1st Place
-
6.61Cornell University2.389.5%1st Place
-
6.75SUNY Maritime College2.519.3%1st Place
-
7.23University of Pennsylvania2.428.9%1st Place
-
7.39Georgetown University2.417.2%1st Place
-
7.96Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.167.8%1st Place
-
11.28Princeton University1.872.9%1st Place
-
10.93Fordham University1.893.3%1st Place
-
11.46Drexel University1.122.5%1st Place
-
9.03George Washington University1.825.2%1st Place
-
11.21Washington College1.663.0%1st Place
-
10.19Fordham University1.534.0%1st Place
-
12.35Christopher Newport University1.212.3%1st Place
-
12.04Hampton University1.472.0%1st Place
-
15.29University of Virginia-0.031.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leo Boucher | 11.4% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Rayne Duff | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Noyl Odom | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 2.8% |
| Gavin McJones | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Hayden Earl | 9.5% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Benton Amthor | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Jordan Bruce | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Scott Mais | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Will Murray | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Connor Mraz | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 5.7% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 4.1% |
| Toby Sullivan | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 7.5% |
| Tyler Wood | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 5.7% |
| Michael Burns | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 3.7% |
| Brian Fox | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 13.6% | 11.2% |
| Valerio Palamara | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 9.8% |
| Anna Groszkowski | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 14.2% | 46.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.