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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University1.82+7.89vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.41+4.97vs Predicted
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3Webb Institute1.73+4.55vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65+2.12vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.25+2.64vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.38+0.67vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.89+3.89vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University1.81+2.00vs Predicted
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9Hampton University1.47+3.28vs Predicted
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10Drexel University1.12+1.53vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16-3.04vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University1.21+0.19vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College2.51-6.16vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.53-3.60vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania2.42-7.57vs Predicted
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16Washington College1.66-4.93vs Predicted
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17Princeton University1.87-5.75vs Predicted
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18University of Virginia-0.03-2.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.89George Washington University1.825.5%1st Place
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6.97Georgetown University2.419.5%1st Place
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7.55Webb Institute1.738.3%1st Place
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6.12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.6510.5%1st Place
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7.64U. S. Naval Academy2.257.0%1st Place
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6.67Cornell University2.389.4%1st Place
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10.89Fordham University1.893.4%1st Place
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10.0Old Dominion University1.814.2%1st Place
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12.28Hampton University1.472.5%1st Place
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11.53Drexel University1.123.0%1st Place
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7.96Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.165.7%1st Place
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12.19Christopher Newport University1.212.9%1st Place
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6.84SUNY Maritime College2.519.2%1st Place
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10.4Fordham University1.533.4%1st Place
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7.43University of Pennsylvania2.428.4%1st Place
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11.07Washington College1.663.2%1st Place
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11.25Princeton University1.873.0%1st Place
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15.34University of Virginia-0.030.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Wood | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.6% |
| Scott Mais | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Rayne Duff | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Leo Boucher | 10.5% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Gavin McJones | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Hayden Earl | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 5.1% |
| Noyl Odom | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 1.8% |
| Valerio Palamara | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 13.3% | 9.4% |
| Toby Sullivan | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 6.8% |
| Will Murray | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Brian Fox | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 13.9% | 9.4% |
| Benton Amthor | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Michael Burns | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 3.3% |
| Jordan Bruce | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 5.9% |
| Connor Mraz | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 6.4% |
| Anna Groszkowski | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 13.4% | 48.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.