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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Colgate University1.69+0.86vs Predicted
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2Syracuse University0.38+1.29vs Predicted
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3Cornell University0.31+0.33vs Predicted
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4University of Buffalo0.87-1.31vs Predicted
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5Penn State University-0.17-1.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.86Colgate University1.690.5%1st Place
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3.29Syracuse University0.380.1%1st Place
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3.33Cornell University0.310.1%1st Place
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2.69University of Buffalo0.870.2%1st Place
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3.83Penn State University-0.170.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Bicks | 48.8% | 27.0% | 15.5% | 6.4% | 2.3% |
| Nicholas Woviotis | 11.1% | 17.7% | 25.2% | 23.3% | 22.7% |
| Max Joh-Carnella | 12.2% | 15.7% | 21.6% | 27.7% | 22.8% |
| Andrew Green | 20.5% | 27.1% | 24.1% | 19.4% | 8.9% |
| Charles Herlihy | 7.4% | 12.5% | 13.6% | 23.2% | 43.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.