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📊 Prediction Accuracy
5.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College2.51+5.77vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65+4.21vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.41+4.26vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.81+5.80vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.42+2.28vs Predicted
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6Princeton University1.87+5.35vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.25+0.52vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.89+2.89vs Predicted
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9Washington College1.66+2.44vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University1.21+2.40vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.38-4.46vs Predicted
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12George Washington University1.82-3.12vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16-5.05vs Predicted
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14Webb Institute1.73-6.59vs Predicted
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15Hampton University1.47-2.85vs Predicted
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16Drexel University1.12-4.54vs Predicted
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17Fordham University1.53-6.57vs Predicted
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18University of Virginia-0.03-2.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.77SUNY Maritime College2.518.7%1st Place
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6.21St. Mary's College of Maryland2.6511.5%1st Place
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7.26Georgetown University2.418.2%1st Place
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9.8Old Dominion University1.814.1%1st Place
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7.28University of Pennsylvania2.427.4%1st Place
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11.35Princeton University1.873.4%1st Place
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7.52U. S. Naval Academy2.257.5%1st Place
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10.89Fordham University1.893.4%1st Place
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11.44Washington College1.663.2%1st Place
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12.4Christopher Newport University1.212.0%1st Place
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6.54Cornell University2.389.7%1st Place
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8.88George Washington University1.825.5%1st Place
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7.95Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.167.2%1st Place
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7.41Webb Institute1.738.4%1st Place
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12.15Hampton University1.472.6%1st Place
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11.46Drexel University1.123.2%1st Place
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10.43Fordham University1.533.1%1st Place
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15.26University of Virginia-0.031.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benton Amthor | 8.7% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Leo Boucher | 11.5% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Scott Mais | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Noyl Odom | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 2.2% |
| Jordan Bruce | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Connor Mraz | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 6.2% |
| Gavin McJones | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 5.1% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 6.7% |
| Brian Fox | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 14.0% | 10.5% |
| Hayden Earl | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Tyler Wood | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Will Murray | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Rayne Duff | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Valerio Palamara | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 14.2% | 8.8% |
| Toby Sullivan | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 6.0% |
| Michael Burns | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 3.2% |
| Anna Groszkowski | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 12.1% | 47.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.