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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Colgate University1.69+0.86vs Predicted
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2Cornell University0.31+1.37vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University0.38+0.25vs Predicted
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4University of Buffalo0.87-1.31vs Predicted
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5Penn State University-0.17-1.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.86Colgate University1.690.5%1st Place
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3.37Cornell University0.310.1%1st Place
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3.25Syracuse University0.380.1%1st Place
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2.69University of Buffalo0.870.2%1st Place
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3.83Penn State University-0.170.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Bicks | 48.9% | 27.0% | 15.2% | 6.5% | 2.4% |
| Max Joh-Carnella | 10.2% | 16.5% | 24.1% | 24.9% | 24.3% |
| Nicholas Woviotis | 13.1% | 16.5% | 23.1% | 26.6% | 20.7% |
| Andrew Green | 20.3% | 27.5% | 24.4% | 18.5% | 9.3% |
| Charles Herlihy | 7.5% | 12.5% | 13.2% | 23.5% | 43.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.