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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.38+5.48vs Predicted
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2Princeton University1.87+9.43vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.25+4.55vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.81+5.79vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.82+3.88vs Predicted
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6Washington College1.66+5.10vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.42+0.34vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.89+2.99vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College2.51-2.22vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65-3.98vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16-2.96vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University1.21+0.54vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University2.41-5.81vs Predicted
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14Hampton University1.47-1.86vs Predicted
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15Drexel University1.12-3.53vs Predicted
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16Fordham University1.53-5.64vs Predicted
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17Webb Institute1.73-9.57vs Predicted
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18University of Virginia-0.03-2.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.48Cornell University2.3810.1%1st Place
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11.43Princeton University1.873.3%1st Place
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7.55U. S. Naval Academy2.257.0%1st Place
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9.79Old Dominion University1.814.2%1st Place
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8.88George Washington University1.825.5%1st Place
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11.1Washington College1.662.8%1st Place
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7.34University of Pennsylvania2.429.0%1st Place
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10.99Fordham University1.893.2%1st Place
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6.78SUNY Maritime College2.519.3%1st Place
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6.02St. Mary's College of Maryland2.6511.8%1st Place
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8.04Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.167.4%1st Place
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12.54Christopher Newport University1.211.8%1st Place
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7.19Georgetown University2.417.4%1st Place
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12.14Hampton University1.472.5%1st Place
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11.47Drexel University1.122.6%1st Place
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10.36Fordham University1.533.7%1st Place
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7.43Webb Institute1.737.4%1st Place
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15.46University of Virginia-0.030.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hayden Earl | 10.1% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Connor Mraz | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 5.7% |
| Gavin McJones | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% |
| Noyl Odom | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 2.2% |
| Tyler Wood | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 4.7% |
| Jordan Bruce | 9.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 4.0% |
| Benton Amthor | 9.3% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Leo Boucher | 11.8% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Will Murray | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Brian Fox | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 13.0% | 11.9% |
| Scott Mais | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Valerio Palamara | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 13.3% | 9.8% |
| Toby Sullivan | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 6.5% |
| Michael Burns | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 3.7% |
| Rayne Duff | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Anna Groszkowski | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 13.5% | 48.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.