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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Colgate University0.82+1.55vs Predicted
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2Syracuse University0.38+1.10vs Predicted
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3Cornell University0.31+0.17vs Predicted
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4Penn State University-0.17-0.29vs Predicted
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5University of Buffalo0.87-2.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.55Colgate University0.820.3%1st Place
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3.1Syracuse University0.380.2%1st Place
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3.17Cornell University0.310.2%1st Place
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3.71Penn State University-0.170.1%1st Place
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2.47University of Buffalo0.870.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Libby | 28.3% | 24.6% | 20.5% | 16.7% | 9.9% |
| Nicholas Woviotis | 17.2% | 19.2% | 20.9% | 22.2% | 20.5% |
| Max Joh-Carnella | 16.1% | 17.8% | 20.6% | 24.2% | 21.3% |
| Charles Herlihy | 9.4% | 11.9% | 17.3% | 21.1% | 40.3% |
| Andrew Green | 29.0% | 26.5% | 20.7% | 15.8% | 8.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.