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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Syracuse University0.38+2.10vs Predicted
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2Colgate University0.82+0.54vs Predicted
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3Cornell University0.31+0.15vs Predicted
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4University of Buffalo0.87-1.52vs Predicted
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5Penn State University-0.17-1.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.1Syracuse University0.380.2%1st Place
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2.54Colgate University0.820.3%1st Place
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3.15Cornell University0.310.2%1st Place
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2.48University of Buffalo0.870.3%1st Place
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3.72Penn State University-0.170.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Woviotis | 17.5% | 18.9% | 21.5% | 20.6% | 21.5% |
| Caroline Libby | 26.6% | 26.8% | 21.0% | 16.7% | 8.9% |
| Max Joh-Carnella | 16.5% | 17.7% | 20.8% | 24.3% | 20.7% |
| Andrew Green | 29.2% | 24.3% | 23.0% | 16.0% | 7.5% |
| Charles Herlihy | 10.2% | 12.3% | 13.7% | 22.4% | 41.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.