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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Colgate University0.82+1.55vs Predicted
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2Penn State University-0.17+1.77vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University0.38+0.06vs Predicted
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5Cornell University0.31-1.84vs Predicted
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6University of Buffalo0.87-3.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.55Colgate University0.820.3%1st Place
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3.77Penn State University-0.170.1%1st Place
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3.06Syracuse University0.380.2%1st Place
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3.16Cornell University0.310.2%1st Place
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2.47University of Buffalo0.870.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Libby | 28.9% | 25.5% | 18.2% | 16.5% | 10.9% |
| Charles Herlihy | 8.5% | 10.5% | 17.8% | 22.0% | 41.2% |
| Nicholas Woviotis | 17.2% | 20.3% | 21.0% | 22.7% | 18.8% |
| Max Joh-Carnella | 15.8% | 18.2% | 21.8% | 23.0% | 21.2% |
| Andrew Green | 29.6% | 25.5% | 21.2% | 15.8% | 7.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.